Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY

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FXUS63 KPAH 310831
AFDPAH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
331 AM CDT MON AUG 31 2015

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Wednesday night)
Issued at 306 AM CDT MON AUG 31 2015

Looks as though most of the short term will be dominated by a
ridge of high pressure in the mid/upper levels of the atmosphere.
Should result in generally a rain free forecast with at or above
normal temps. Afternoon readings will run in the upper half of
the 80s today...then near 90 to the lower 90s Tue/Wed. A weak trof
of low pressure embedded within the ridge may produce an isolated
storm here and there, but looks like most locations will stay
precip free.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Sunday)
Issued at 306 AM CDT MON AUG 31 2015

After an August that felt much like September for at least a few
weeks, wouldn`t ya know September starts out feeling like...August.
Fortunately, relatively good model agreement results in higher than
average confidence in the long term portion of the forecast.

Starting with 12Z Thursday, the upper level pattern will feature a
large upper level ridge from the Mid Mississippi Valley north into
the Great Lakes and southern Canada. A weakness in the ridge over
the Deep South will remain there or drift slowly east through the
end of the week. The impact from this feature and its attendant
moisture should remain south of our forecast area. The upper ridge
will remain in place and perhaps even strengthen as we head into the
weekend.

At the surface, the core of high pressure will be to our east. The
center of the high will slowly migrate from southeastern Canada
southward into the Mid Atlantic Coast by Sunday. So while surface
winds may start off with more of an easterly component, a veer to
the south is expected with time.

The end result will be hot and rather humid conditions through the
period. The humidity will not be nearly as bad as it was in July,
but dew points in the upper 60s is not what most would consider
pleasant by any stretch of the imagination. Look for highs to range
from around 90 into the lower 90s, with lows in the upper 60s to
near 70 degrees. Conditions should be mainly dry--though a stray
heat of the day thunderstorm cannot be completely ruled out.

&&

.AVIATION...
Issued at 1243 AM CDT MON AUG 31 2015

Few to scattered VFR clouds will prevail through the night. Patchy
MVFR fog is possible again towards daybreak. Maintained a temporary
reduction to IFR at KCGI and KPAH between 09-12Z. Mainly dry weather
will prevail Monday, but an isolated shower or storm is not entirely
out of the question during the afternoon. Winds will be southerly
around 5 knots during the day and near calm at night.


&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...GM
LONG TERM...RJP



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