Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 271952

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
252 PM CDT Thu Oct 27 2016

...Warm and Dry Conditions Continue...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 159 PM CDT Thu Oct 27 2016

After a foggy start this morning, skies have generally cleared
across the area this afternoon. Temperatures are generally mild
with many of us in the lower 70s this afternoon.

Tonight, statistical guidance is signaling more fog development.
Crossover temperatures are also supportive. Didn`t go as bullish
with fog as this morning as surface winds appear to be just a tad

Speaking of surface winds they will certainly be on the increase
on Friday as surface pressure gradient tightens. Temperatures will
be extremely warm for this time of year with high temps warming
into the upper 70s and lower 80s.

.LONG TERM...(Friday Night through Thursday)
Issued at 159 PM CDT Thu Oct 27 2016

A ridge of high pressure will remain in close proximity through
the long term. This stubborn high will keep the area well above
average for this time of year. High temperatures are expected to
range from the middle 70s to the lower 80s with overnight lows
also in the upper 50s to near 60 degrees.

The ridge should begin to push eastward from the southern plains
to the southeast. This will transition us from a dry northwesterly
flow to a more perhaps active southwesterly flow by mid week next
week. A weak disturbance or disturbances will move through mid to
late week next week. Details are murky, however, this will likely
be our next chance for showers and storms.


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday afternoon)
Issued at 1222 PM CDT Thu Oct 27 2016

After a foggy start across the region this morning, skies are
finally beginning to clear across the BBG and SGF terminals. Some
mild visibility reduction is ongoing for JLN, however, this
should quickly improve through the afternoon. VFR conditions are
expected from mid afternoon through the evening.

More fog development is expected overnight tonight with
visibilities dropping into the IFR range for BBG and JLN with MVFR
conditions expected for SGF. Fog will lift by mid morning with VFR
conditions again expected by the end of this forecast cycle.




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