Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 251915
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
115 PM CST Sun Feb 25 2018

...Mild and Dry to Start the Week...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 110 PM CST Sun Feb 25 2018

Surface high pressure will reside over the region through tonight
then shift to the east on Monday. Light surface winds will shift
to the southeast Monday. This along with another day of plenty of
sunshine will result in even milder temperatures. Cannot rule out
some patchy fog tonight mainly near lakes and river bottoms.

.LONG TERM...(Monday Night through Sunday)
Issued at 110 PM CST Sun Feb 25 2018

The warming trend will continue into Tuesday as southerly winds
increase beneath a zonal flow pattern. An active weather pattern
will return as we head through the week. A minor shortwave will
track into the region Tuesday night bringing showers and perhaps a
few rumbles of thunder. Rainfall amounts are not expected to be
heavy given the transient nature of this system.

A more vigorous shortwave trough will swing out of the desert
southwest and southern Rockies into the central Plains on
Wednesday. A rather complex surface pattern is progged at this
time which complicates expectations for thunderstorms. At this it
looks another good chance of showers along with some
thunderstorms. The evolution of this system including available
instability will be monitored as it relates to the potential for
stronger convection. Widespread heavy rainfall is not expected
with this system at this time.

Cooler but still relatively mild and drier weather will again
return for late week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday afternoon)
Issued at 1124 AM CST Sun Feb 25 2018

Pilots can expect VFR conditions at area terminals through
tonight. Some mid to high level clouds may impact mainly the JLN
terminal later today. Surface winds will be light and shift to
the southeast on Monday as surface high pressure shifts to the
east.


&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Foster
LONG TERM...Foster
AVIATION...Foster



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