Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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000
FXUS63 KSGF 202011
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
211 PM CST Mon Nov 20 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Tuesday)

It was a warm and breezy day over extreme southeast Kansas and the
Missouri Ozarks. Temperatures warmed into the 60s, under sunny
skies and very dry relative humidity levels. This created red flag
conditions this afternoon. As a matter of fact, a Red Flag Warning
remains in effect for portions of the Ozarks through 6 pm.

These fire weather conditions should improve early this evening as
wind speeds decrease and humidity levels increase.

For tonight, south breezes will persist, keeping temperatures in
the mid 30s to mid 40s.

A cold front is expected to swing through the area on Tuesday,
bringing in a cooler airmass. Due to the lack of available
moisture, no precipitation is expected. However, temperatures
Tuesday night into Wednesday morning will fall into the low to mid
20s. This will likely be the coldest period through the next 7
days.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Monday)

Northwest flow will continue through the entire long term periods.
This fast flow regime will shut down the Gulf of Mexico, allowing
for an extended period of dry weather for the Ozarks.

Due to a series of frontal passages, temperatures will fluctuate
through the rest of the week.

Perhaps the warmest periods will occur Friday afternoon as highs
warm into the mid 60s. This airmass will be replaced by another
shot of Canadian air on Saturday.

In summary, there remains no signal for any active weather through
Thanksgiving weekend and into early next week. Dry conditions
combined with fluctuating temperatures are in the offing.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday afternoon)

Pilots flying in and out of the southwest Missouri airports can
expect VFR conditions over the next 24 hours.

Pilots will need to monitor gusty surface winds this afternoon,
with speeds from the southwest ranging from 15 to 35 mph. The
strongest gusts are expected to occur in far western Missouri,
impacting the Joplin airfield.

No low clouds or obstructions to visibilities are expected at this
time.

Safe Travels.


&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Red Flag Warning until 6 PM CST this evening for MOZ066>069-
     077>081-088>091-093>095-101>103.

KS...Red Flag Warning until 6 PM CST this evening for KSZ073-097-101.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Cramer
LONG TERM...Cramer
AVIATION...Cramer


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