Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 110803

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SPRINGFIELD MO
303 AM CDT SUN OCT 11 2015

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 0229 AM CDT SUN OCT 11 2015

Surface high pressure slid southeast of the area yesterday and an
upper level ridge was building over the region this morning. A
tightening surface pressure gradient will bring breezy to gusty
winds today as a strong upper level low moves across the U.S.
Canadian border towards the Great Lakes region.

This will mean sunny skies and warmer temperatures for the region
with a gusty southwesterly winds bring temperatures in the upper
70s and lower 80s to the Ozarks for today.

The upper low across the northern U.S. will drag a dry cold front
through the area tonight. This will bring a cooler but still dry
airmass into the region.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 0229 AM CDT SUN OCT 11 2015

A persistent northwesterly upper level flow will be in control of
the region`s weather through the week as the aforementioned upper
low over the Great Lakes lifts through New England and off to the
northeast. Several reinforcing rounds of cool and dry Canadian
high pressure will keep the region seasonable for the coming work

Both the GFS and ECMWF do indicate some potential for
precipitation with a cold front that moves through the region
early Friday. The precipitation output from the models on this
system continues to fluctuate and there is little confidence in
the output for now. Will continue to watch how the models handle
this, but at this time this looks to be the only possible chance
for precipitation for the next 10 days or so.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday Night)
Issued at 1205 AM CDT SUN OCT 11 2015

VFR conditions are expected overnight across most of the region.
Branson may have some fog developing toward sunrise, however, this
looks to be patchy at best. The TEMPO group should highlight this
potential nicely. Other than this, it looks like mostly a wind
forecast through Sunday. Southerly winds may be gusty at times in
the afternoon. LLWS may also come into play Sunday evening as


.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...


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