Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 241052

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
552 AM CDT Mon Jul 24 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 200 AM CDT Mon Jul 24 2017

A front is stalled across northwestern Arkansas into southeastern
Missouri early this morning. The air mass behind the front will
not be all that cooler as highs in the lower to middle 90s occur.
The air mass is however slightly drier which will result in heat
index values in the middle to upper 90s this afternoon.

A few isolated showers/storms will be possible this
afternoon/evening across southern Missouri, generally south of
an Anderson, to Springfield to a Salem Missouri line. Coverage in
any activity that can develop will be limited and overall most
locations should remain dry. Any locations that are effected by
any isolated activity should only be so briefly as this activity
will be short lived in nature.

Lows tonight will drop into the upper 60s to the lower 70s.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 200 AM CDT Mon Jul 24 2017

An upper level ridge will slowly nudge east across the Plains on
Tuesday. Highs will be similar to those today but maybe a degree
or two warmer. Moisture will be slow to return so heat index
values should again be in the middle to upper 90s Tuesday

The ridge will build into the region on Wednesday allowing
temperatures in the middle to upper 90s to return. Moisture will
also increase allowing heat index values between 100 and 105 to
return. A Heat Advisory may be needed for portions of the area on

An upper level shortwave trough will then dive south and push the
ridge back to the west Thursday into Friday. A front will slide
south through the area during this time and could spark some
scattered showers/storms across the area. This may be very similar
to the front that moved through the area over the weekend with not
widespread coverage in rain occur, being more hit and miss in

Another upper level trough will dive south through the area
reinforcing the ridge remain to the west of area. Could be some
spotty convection, but again not looking at widespread rain or a
washout by any means. This will result in cooler conditions Friday
into Monday as highs in the 80s and lows in the lower to middle
60s are expected each day.


.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Tuesday morning)
Issued at 551 AM CDT Mon Jul 24 2017

VFR conditions are expected today at the three forecast points. An
isolated storm may be possible at SGF or BBG but risk is to low
for any kind of mention at this point.




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