Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 122034
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
234 PM CST Fri Jan 12 2018

...Very Cold Weather With Chances of Light Snow This Weekend Into
Early Next Week...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 202 PM CST Fri Jan 12 2018

An Arctic high is nosing down from the Northern Plains Region into
the Central U.S. this afternoon. Despite plenty of sunshine and a
pretty afternoon, temperatures only managed to reach the lower and
middle 20s across the area. A weak and moisture starved upper
level disturbance is currently moving across the Central Plains
region with scattered snow showers showing up on regional radars.
Most of the on radar is not reaching the ground due to dry air.
High and mid level cloudiness will increase this evening and
overnight but no precip is expected. Single digits to lower teens
will be the overnight lows tonight with wind chills around or
just slight below zero. Another frigid day will be around for
Saturday with highs back in the 20s.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday Night through Friday)
Issued at 202 PM CST Fri Jan 12 2018

A slightly stronger clipper like system will dive through the deep
northerly flow Sunday morning across our region. Models indicate
enough moisture may be squeezed out for a quick band of snow
flurries or light snow Sunday morning into the midday hours. The
best potential of a light dusting to up to half an inch of snow
will be north of Highway 60.

A strong Arctic front will move down across the Midwest into the
Missouri Ozarks region Sunday night into Monday. Models are a
little more bullish with available moisture but still limited.
Temperatures will be falling most of the day Monday with strong
northerly winds behind the Arctic front. Slightly higher snow
ratios along with the limited moisture will lead to the potential
of 1 to 2 inches of dry, fluffy light snow on Monday. Gusty winds
up to 30 mph may also cause this light snow to blow around and
reduce visibilities. The light snow will start across central
Missouri and eastern Kansas early Monday morning and move
southward during the day...wrapping up by late afternoon across
southern Missouri.

If there is fresh snow on the ground...we will see bitterly cold
temperatures Monday night through Tuesday night with lows near or
below zero and highs on Tuesday only in the lower to middle teens.
Potential wind chill values could drop as low as 10 to 20 below
zero which is dangerously cold. The overall weather pattern
flattens out and southerly winds return late next week with milder
temperatures.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday afternoon)
Issued at 1056 AM CST Fri Jan 12 2018

VFR will continue for all TAF locations and airports around the
Missouri Ozarks region for the next 24 hours. Some mid level
cloudiness will move in this evening and overnight but should
remain VFR with no impacts. Winds will continue to be breezy and
northerly around 10 to 15 knots but will relax some after sunset
this evening.


&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Griffin
LONG TERM...Griffin
AVIATION...Griffin



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