Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 202322
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
622 PM CDT Tue Jun 20 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 210 PM CDT Tue Jun 20 2017

High pressure remained over the eastern Ozarks where lower
humidity was present. Dewpoints and RH values were higher further
west where moisture was returning. Tonight and Wednesday we will
remain in northwest flow with ripples of energy moving down. It
currently appears that one ripple will go northeast of our area
toward St.Louis with another ripple of energy west of the area in
Kansas. Therefore dry conditions are expected with mild temps.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday Night through Tuesday)
Issued at 210 PM CDT Tue Jun 20 2017

Main emphasis will be with Tropical Storm Cindy and its moisture
coming up from the south along with a strong cold front
approaching from the north late this week. Models are struggling
with the eventual track of the tropical system. For the most part
however the models take the system up into Arkansas by Friday
before moving it northeast. Shortwave energy within the westerlies
to the north will move down and push a cold front into the area
Friday. It is this shortwave energy that will be important to the
eventual track of the tropical system and its impacts on our
sensible weather.

Precipitation may begin to move into southcentral Missouri by
Thursday morning as moisture moves up from the south. Additional
widespread showers and storms will be possible along the cold
front Friday. Forecast soundings show over 2.0inch PW values
across far southcentral Missouri Friday, therefore there will be
some potential for locally heavy rainfall in this area. Will just
need to watch model trends over the next day or two since there
are plenty of model differences still.

Clouds and precip will keep the temps in the 80s Friday and
Saturday. The strong cold front will move through by Saturday,
with high temps in the 70s Sunday and Monday. With the area
remaining in northwest flow, additional scattered precip chances
will occur early next week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday evening)
Issued at 620 PM CDT Tue Jun 20 2017

KSGF/KJLN/KBBG tafs: VFR with a sfc ridge of high pressure over
the area.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Burchfield
LONG TERM...Burchfield
AVIATION...DSA



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