Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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383
FXUS63 KSGF 181046
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
446 AM CST Sat Feb 18 2017

...Unseasonably Warm through the Middle of Next Week...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 135 AM CST Sat Feb 18 2017

The unseasonably warm weather will continue today despite an
increase in cloud cover. The clouds will be produced by a an upper
level low pressure system that will track across the Ozarks region
today. A deeper moisture plume on the eastern periphery of this
system will produce scattered showers across the eastern Ozarks this
morning.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 135 AM CST Sat Feb 18 2017

Even warmer temperatures are expected Sunday as an upper level
ridge transitions over the region and southerly winds persist.
Expect most locations to climb well into the 70s and near record
territory.

An upper level trough and associated Pacific front will approach
from the west Sunday night across the area on Monday. Showers will
gradually increase from the west Sunday and overspread the Ozarks
region Monday. Models continue to depict modest instability which
support isolated thunderstorms. While most areas will see rain, rainfall
amounts will not be particularly heavy with totals of one quarter to three
quarters of an inch expected. The clouds and showers will hold temperatures
down a bit on Monday.

This system will move off to the east on Tuesday as the upper
pattern becomes more zonal. Temperatures will remain well above
normal through the middle of next week.

A more potent upper level trough will track into the central U.S.
late next week. This system will bring increasing winds and a
chance for showers or thunderstorms followed by colder
temperatures.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Sunday morning)
Issued at 421 AM CST Sat Feb 18 2017

Pilots can expect generally VFR conditions at area terminals today. Although
mid and high level clouds will blanket the region as an upper level system
tracks to our south.  MVFR to potentially IFR ceilings may impact the region
late tonight into Sunday morning.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 130 AM CST Sat Feb 18 2017

Record Highs/YearFeb 18thFeb 19th
Springfield 74/194871/2004
Joplin78/198675/2011
West Plains 77/198673/1981
Vichy-Rolla72/199170/2004

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Foster
LONG TERM...Foster
AVIATION...Foster
CLIMATE...Foster



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