Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 221825

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
125 PM CDT Sat Apr 22 2017

...Warming Weather Returns Sunday - Active Weather Later Next

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 120 PM CDT Sat Apr 22 2017

Clouds and perhaps some patchy drizzle will linger into this
evening as an upper low slowly exits to the southeast. Clouds
could be slow to clear from the north tonight. There is some
potential for fog development late tonight especially if the sky
can clear. Otherwise it will be chilly with lows in the upper 30s
to near 40. A few locations may fall into the middle 30s.
Conditions do not appear to be optimal for patchy frost.

Sunshine and warmer temperatures will return Sunday as upper level
ridging transitions eastward and a surface high builds into the
region. Highs will climb well into the 60s.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday Night through Saturday)
Issued at 120 PM CDT Sat Apr 22 2017

The warming trend will continue into early next week as southerly
winds develop and increase. The next front will take shape over
Plains Tuesday as a broad upper level trough begins to evolve out
west. This front and first in a series of upper level systems will
track into the region Tuesday night and Wednesday bringing a good
chance for showers and thunderstorms.

This front will stall across the region during late week as the
upper level trough deepens over the western U.S. A series of upper
level systems will track northeast across the region during late
week and interact with the stalled front and increasing moisture
to produce multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms from
Thursday into Saturday.

While details are yet to be determined the general synoptic setup
suggest the potential for heavy rainfall and severe weather
during late week and next weekend. Given the saturated ground
conditions the potential for flooding will have to be closely
monitored. Given this potential the latest weather information
should be closely monitored.


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday afternoon)
Issued at 1156 AM CDT Sat Apr 22 2017

Pilots can expect prevailing MVFR and occasional IFR conditions
this afternoon then a gradual improvement tonight. Low ceilings
and occasional drizzle will impact flight conditions this
afternoon. Gradual clearing will take place late tonight and the
potential for light fog will have to be monitored. VFR conditions
are expected Sunday.




LONG TERM...Foster
AVIATION...Foster is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.