Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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855
FXUS63 KSGF 262339
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
639 PM CDT Wed Jul 26 2017

...00Z AVIATION UPDATE...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 230 PM CDT Wed Jul 26 2017

The remains of an MCS across central Missouri continues to push
cloud cover south into the area this afternoon, with widespread
cirrus proving filtered sunshine across the region. Despite the
cloud cover, temperatures have warmed into the mid 90s, with
dewpoints remaining in the low to mid 70s. A few locations have
flirted with Heat Advisory criteria, and it looks like most of the
area should get close enough to justify keeping the Advisory out
through its scheduled expiration time early this evening. A few
isolated showers/thunderstorms may develop across the region as
well this afternoon, but most of the region will stay dry through
sunset.

Later tonight, another complex of rain/thunderstorms will develop
across Central Missouri as the low level jet overspreads the
frontal boundary. Outflow from that should become the effective
front Thursday as it sags south. Some additional
development/redevelopment is expected across the southern CWA on
Thursday, especially if we`re able to get a bit of heating across
southern Missouri. There will be a marginal wind risk with any
activity tonight and tomorrow.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday Night through Wednesday)
Issued at 230 PM CDT Wed Jul 26 2017

The cold front should clear the area later Thursday into Thursday
night, with just a few remaining showers/storms across southern
Missouri Friday morning. Cooler and less humid air will begin to
stream into the region during the day Friday, and by Friday night
and Saturday, it should be noticeably less humid as dewpoints
fall into the low 60s. Saturday and Sunday look very nice, with
high pressure overhead and highs in the mid 80s.

The early part of next workweek looks to feature slowly warming
temperatures, though readings should stay around average. The bulk
of the precipitation chances should remain south and west of
the area through mid week next week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Thursday evening)
Issued at 637 PM CDT Wed Jul 26 2017

VFR conditions expected this evening into most of the overnight
hours. There will be increasing shower and thunderstorm chances
after 06z however confidence is not high enough to go higher than
vcts at this point at JLN and SGF. Low level wind shear will be
present overnight at the TAF sites. Additional shower and
thunderstorms will be possible at times during the day Thursday.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for MOZ055>058-066>071-
     077>083-088>098-101>106.

KS...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for KSZ073-097-101.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Boxell
LONG TERM...Boxell
AVIATION...Burchfield



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