Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FXUS63 KSGF 011102

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service SPRINGFIELD MO
502 AM CST TUE DEC 1 2015

...Update to Aviation Discussion for 12Z TAFs...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 145 AM CST TUE DEC 01 2015

After several days of damp and dreary weather the sky was clearing
from the west early Tuesday. Sunshine is in store today as surface
pressure builds from the southern Plains into the Ozarks. The
closed upper low responsible for the recent spell of wet weather
will continue to slowly shift eastward.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 145 AM CST TUE DEC 01 2015

The upper low will continue its slow track to the east into the
Great Lakes region on Wednesday which will maintain a
northwesterly flow aloft. The lower 50H heights and associated mid
cold pool associated with the upper low will result in chilly
temperatures Wednesday. Highs Wednesday will only reach the lower
and middle 40s.

A more progressive pattern will evolve from late week into the
weekend in the wake of the exiting upper low. Upper level ridging
and a return southerly flow will result in noticeably milder
temperatures Friday and Saturday.

An upper level trough will take shape out west this weekend into
early next week. The first in a series of shortwaves ejecting
northeast from this trough will make its way into our region
later Sunday and Monday bringing a chance of light rain. An
unsettled weather pattern will continue next week as additional
shortwaves track into the region. Moisture quality should increase
with time resulting a better chance for rain by the middle or
latter part of next week.

Forecast confidence is high through this weekend with more
uncertainty on the details of an evolving pattern next week.


.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Wednesday Morning)
Issued at 0502 AM CST TUE DEC 01 2015

For the KSGF, KJLN, and KBBG TAFs: VFR conditions will occur at
the TAF sites today and tonight under clear skies. Winds will be
out of the southwest to west during the TAF period. Gusty winds
will develop at the KSGF and KJLN sites late this morning into
this afternoon relaxing some by this evening.


.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...


LONG TERM...Foster
AVIATION...Wise is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.