Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND

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FXUS63 KFGF 241740

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
1240 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2016

Issued at 1240 PM CDT Wed Aug 24 2016

Clouds really beginning to thicken now along and west of a line
from Langdon to Valley City, so bumped up clouds amounts a little
more through the rest of the afternoon. Wind speeds also starting
to show more gusts too, generally in the low to mid 20 knot
range. A few showers are showing up over southeast Saskatchewan
and southwest Manitoba, and some of these may work into the
northwest FA thru the afternoon. Overall, forecast is on track.


.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 323 AM CDT Wed Aug 24 2016

Cold front continuing to push east, departing the FA early this
morning. A few lingering showers will affect areas east of Fosston
and Detroit Lakes before dawn. In the wake of the front west winds
have developed and will increase as the upper low pressure system
slowly tracks east across southern Manitoba. This support combined
with a secondary push of CAA will be enough for another round of
scattered showers across the northern tier of counties this
afternoon in NE ND and into NW MN this evening and overnight.
Cooler temps today with highs in the 70s.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 323 AM CDT Wed Aug 24 2016

Thursday will continue to see the influence of the upper low
especially across NW MN with shower activity chances continuing,
as a cool and cloudy day is expected. With upper low ejecting east
thursday aftn and sfc high pressure building into the northern
plains will see clearing skies from west to east. This will allow
a cool night with temps in the 40s to 50 Friday morning.

Next round of PCPN will lift NE out of SD Friday mid morning with
short wave in the SW 500mb flow. Showers and thunder will continue
to lift into the rest of the FA Friday afternoon and evening with
the DVL BSN more likely to remain dry.

The next 500 mb low and short wave trough will move through
Saturday giving a good chance for showers and thunderstorms.  The
system will move east on Sunday giving dry weather for Sunday night
into Monday.  Next system to arrive Tuesday.  00z long range models
pretty good with overall pattern.


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon)
Issued at 1240 PM CDT Wed Aug 24 2016

Looking at gusty west winds continuing across the FA into the
early evening, then the gusts should fall off overnight. There is
a SCT to BKN area of 3500-4500ft clouds moving toward the Red
River Valley, and think these will stick around overnight,
possibly even lowering into the MVFR range. Not quite so windy
Thursday, but it should be a little breezy yet.


.FGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...


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