Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND

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FXUS63 KFGF 281336
AFDFGF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
736 AM CST SUN DEC 28 2014

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 735 AM CST SUN DEC 28 2014

STRONG COLD ADVECTION UNDERWAY THROUGHOUT MOST OF THE AREA. HAVE
TWEEKED TODAYS FORECAST HIGH TEMPS DOWNWARD A NOTCH OVERALL...
ESPECIALLY IN SOUTHERN THIRD OF BASIN INTO MN LAKES COUNTRY.
TEMPS TO STAY NEARLY STEADY OR DROP THROUGH THE DAY THERE.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 345 AM CST SUN DEC 28 2014

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IN SOUTHERN MANITOBA WILL BUILD SOUTHWARD
INTO THE RED RIVER BASIN THROUGH THE DAY TODAY...WITH NORTHERLY
WINDS AND STEADILY CLEARING SKIES PUSHING FROM NORTH TO SOUTH
THROUGH MIDMORNING... AND SUNNY BUT CHILLY CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT
THE AFTERNOON.

DEEP COLD ADVECTION WILL CONTINUE WELL INTO THE OVERNIGHT TONIGHT
...AND WITH LIGHT BUT PERSISTENT NORTHERLY WINDS...WILL PRODUCE
SUBZERO COLD TEMPERATURES AND BITTER WIND CHILLS FOR TONIGHT AND
MONDAY.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 345 AM CST SUN DEC 28 2014

MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...WILL SEE THE CENTER OF OUR ARCTIC COLD
AIRMASS WELL ENTRENCHED OVER THE DKTAS AND MINNESOTA WITH OVERALL
TEMPERATURES REMAINING WELL BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS. SUNNY... DRY
AND COLD PERSISTING.

WED THROUGH SAT... A BY MIDWEEK WE CAN EXPECT A TRANSITION TO MORE
OF A UPPER LEVEL SPLT FLOW PATTERN ACROSS WESTERN NOAM... WITH
ARCTIC AIR SHUNTING FURTHER INTO EASTERN CANADA. MIDWEEK
TEMPERATURES WILL CLIMB BACK TOWARD SEASONAL NORMS AS A MORE MILE
WEST TO NORTHWEST BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW RESUMES OVER THE NORTHERN
PLAINS. A SERIES OF WEAK DISTURBANCES NEAR THE END OF THE WEEK
WILL PROVIDE SOME LOW CHANCES FOR LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS...BUT NOTHING
ON THE HORIZON AS FAR AS SIGNIFICANT SNOW PRODUCERS. COLD AIR
RETURNS TO THE REGION NEXT WEEKEND AFTER A STRONGER LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM KICKS OUT OF THE SW CONUS..MOVES UP THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY
REGION AND INTO THE NE CONUS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 735 AM CST SUN DEC 28 2014

SCT MVFR CIGS PUSHING SOUTHWARD FROM THE ARC DVL-FAR-BJI THROUGH
15Z. AFT 15Z...FAIR SKIES AND LIGHT NORTH WINDS WILL PERSIST
THROUGHOUT THE DAY.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...WIND CHILL ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON CST TUESDAY
     FOR NDZ008-016-026>030-038-039-049-052.

     WIND CHILL ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT MONDAY NIGHT TO NOON CST
     TUESDAY FOR NDZ053.

     WIND CHILL ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON CST TUESDAY
     FOR NDZ006-007-014-015-024-054.

MN...WIND CHILL ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO NOON CST TUESDAY
     FOR MNZ001>005-007-008-013>015.

     WIND CHILL ADVISORY FROM MIDNIGHT MONDAY NIGHT TO NOON CST
     TUESDAY FOR MNZ006-009-016-017-022>024-027>032-040.

&&

$$

UPDATE...GUST
SHORT TERM...GUST
LONG TERM...GUST/PJS
AVIATION...GUST





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