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000
FXUS63 KFGF 170433
AFDFGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
1133 PM CDT Sat Sep 16 2017

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1131 PM CDT Sat Sep 16 2017

No changes necessary.

UPDATE Issued at 936 PM CDT Sat Sep 16 2017

Extended low pops as showers, although light, will likely continue
until mid level shear axis swings through.  No other changes.

UPDATE Issued at 646 PM CDT Sat Sep 16 2017

Will maintain some low pops for another couple hours or so as
radar continues to show some weak returns vcnty surface boundary.
Most likely any brief showers will not yield much more than a
hundredth or two.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 309 PM CDT Sat Sep 16 2017

Only item of concern in the short term period will be the chance
for some additional light rain showers across the Devils Lake
basin. A shortwave currently situated near the Montana/North
Dakota border is expected to lift to the north and east, possibly
bringing the edge of any precipitation to the far northwestern
forecast area. Anything that does fall should be light with
not much for impacts.

Cloud cover will slowly begin to clear out across the south during
the overnight hours with clearing gradually pushing northward during
the day on Sunday. Still think winds will stay up enough to inhibit
any fog potential but will have to be monitored.

Dry and quiet to end the weekend with high pressure building in and
temperatures warming back up to around the 60 degree mark (possibly
mid 60s down south).

.LONG TERM...(Sunday night through Saturday)
Issued at 309 PM CDT Sat Sep 16 2017

Isolated rain showers are possible Sunday night into Monday morning
with overnight temperatures dropping into the upper 40s and low 50s.
Monday will see a brief warm up with highs reaching the low to mid
70s and southerly winds across the region. A cold front is expected
to progress through central and eastern North Dakota Tuesday
afternoon/evening and northwestern Minnesota into the Tuesday
overnight hours. Rain showers and thunderstorms are likely during
this period, however, forecast uncertainty remains with regard to
thunderstorm severity and coverage. Dry and mild conditions are
expected for Wednesday and Thursday with highs reaching the upper
60s to low 70s. Rain chances return to the forecast overnight
Thursday into Friday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Sunday night)
Issued at 1131 PM CDT Sat Sep 16 2017

Cigs should continue to lift from MVFR into VFR range from west
to east during the overnight and into tomorrow morning. Feel there
will be enough cloud cover and mixing to inhibit fog formation but
will need to monitor.

&&

.FGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ND...None.
MN...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...Voelker
SHORT TERM...Lee
LONG TERM...AM
AVIATION...Voelker