Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Grand Forks, ND

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FXUS63 KFGF 242000
AFDFGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
300 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday)
Issued at 300 PM CDT Wed Aug 24 2016

Wind and showers remain the main forecast challenge for the short
term. As of 3 pm, the 500mb low remained over southwest Manitoba,
helping to spread quite a bit of cloud cover across the FA. This
low will track slowly across southern Manitoba tonight and into
southwest Ontario on Thursday morning. Therefore areas closer to
the Canadian border will see the most cloud cover and a few
showers tonight into Thursday, while areas further south will see
the least cloud cover and fewer or no showers. Gusty west winds
will continue into the evening, then die down somewhat overnight,
before increasing again Thursday morning.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 300 PM CDT Wed Aug 24 2016

Dry weather will continue through mid-day Friday before long wave
troughing will develops a SW flow pattern aloft by Friday afternoon
while moisture flux from the Gulf of Mexico increase PWATs across
the northern tier.  An unsettled pattern then brings Friday night
showers and scattered storms on Saturday as high pressure moves out
of the region and an upper wave moves across the Dakotas.  More
zonal pattern develops and brings dry and warm weather for
Sunday/Monday with short wave ridging aloft.  A wave then moves
across southern Canada Monday night into Tuesday, bringing a chance
for showers and storms across the northern zones adjacent to the
international border.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon)
Issued at 1240 PM CDT Wed Aug 24 2016

Looking at gusty west winds continuing across the FA into the
early evening, then the gusts should fall off overnight. There is
a SCT to BKN area of 3500-4500ft clouds moving toward the Red
River Valley, and think these will stick around overnight,
possibly even lowering into the MVFR range. Not quite so windy
Thursday, but it should be a little breezy yet.

&&

.FGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
ND...None.
MN...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Godon
LONG TERM...Speicher
AVIATION...Godon



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