Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 190442

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1042 PM CST Sat Nov 18 2017

06Z Issuance...All sites will remain VFR through the next 24
hours. Southerly winds will remain light tonight and pickup during
the day with gusts up to 25kts.



.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 328 PM CST Sat Nov 18 2017/

Models and ensembles in good agreement regarding mid-level pattern
for the upcoming days.  No precipitation expected through
Saturday.  No strong wind events expected.

As shortwave trof departs quickly to our southeast, surface winds
will quickly diminish early this evening.  Dry northwest to near-
zonal flow will prevail through Sunday night.  Mid level heights
increase to our west as Great Basin ridge amplifies Monday through
at least Wednesday.  Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles will
experience dry northwest flow Monday through at least Thursday.
Gulf of Mexico remains closed through at least Wednesday.  Thus,
dry and mostly cloud-free conditions expected through this

Clear and cold nights expected tonight and Sunday night.
Developing lee trof on Sunday induces southwest winds with high
temperatures slightly above normal.  Monday sees highs about 10
degrees Fahrenheit above normal as a pre-frontal trof moves into
northwest and north-central sections.  A cold front Monday night
brings Tuesday highs close to normal.  Gradual warming trend then
expected through Friday, when highs climb 10 to 15 degrees above
normal.  Another cold front Friday night cools Saturday highs to
near climo.  03


Light north winds early this evening will become light and
variable before midnight.  On Sunday, dry southwest winds will
resume, with elevated fire weather conditions likely to develop
during the afternoon across most of the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles.  Light to moderate west and southwest winds are
expected on Monday.  A pre-frontal trof will move into northwest
and north-central sections of the Combined Panhandles Monday
afternoon, bringing northwest winds.  A cold front Monday night
will result in moderate north winds on Tuesday.  No elevated or
critical fire weather conditions are expected Monday through
Saturday.  No excessive winds are expected Monday through
Saturday.  03


.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...



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