Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 140736
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
236 AM CDT SUN SEP 14 2014

.DISCUSSION...
INCREASING MID AND UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE ALONG WITH AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE MOVING NORTHWARD FROM SOUTHWEST TEXAS WILL HELP TO
SPARK SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST HALF OF THE
TEXAS PANHANDLE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT. A COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE REGION ON MONDAY. THIS FRONT COUPLED
WITH MOISTURE AND LIFT WILL PROVIDE A STAGE FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.

A NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL CONTINUE TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. SO BELIEVE THAT THERE WILL BE A DAILY CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS AS UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES INTERACT WITH THE
MOISTURE ACROSS THE PANHANDLES.

THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE PASSES OVER THE PANHANDLES ON THURSDAY ON
ITS WAY TO THE EAST OF US. AS THIS RIDGE MOVES OFF TO THE EAST AN
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MAY MOVE TOWARD THE PANHANDLES LATE THIS WEEK
INTO NEXT WEEKEND. THE MODELS STILL DO NOT AGREE ON THE DEPTH OF
THIS TROUGH OR HOW FAST THIS TROUGH WILL MOVE...SO WILL KEEP THE
FORECAST DRY FOR NOW.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
NO ELEVATED OR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
THIS WEEK GIVEN THE CHANCES OF RAIN AND THE ELEVATED RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMARILLO TX                80  61  80  60  79 /  20  20  20  30  20
BEAVER OK                  86  64  78  60  82 /  10  10  20  30  20
BOISE CITY OK              84  58  71  56  81 /   5   5  20  20  10
BORGER TX                  84  63  82  62  82 /  20  10  20  30  20
BOYS RANCH TX              82  60  80  61  82 /  10  10  20  30  20
CANYON TX                  79  60  81  61  80 /  20  20  20  30  20
CLARENDON TX               80  63  82  63  79 /  20  20  20  30  20
DALHART TX                 83  58  75  58  81 /  10  10  20  20  10
GUYMON OK                  86  61  75  59  82 /  10  10  20  30  20
HEREFORD TX                79  59  79  60  79 /  20  20  20  30  20
LIPSCOMB TX                83  64  82  61  81 /  10  10  20  30  20
PAMPA TX                   82  63  81  61  79 /  20  20  20  30  20
SHAMROCK TX                80  65  84  63  80 /  20  20  20  30  20
WELLINGTON TX              80  65  86  64  82 /  20  20  20  30  20

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

08/15




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