Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 210349
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1049 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2016

.Aviation.../For the 06z TAFs/
VFR conditions are expected through the TAF period. Winds will
gradually veer around to be south-southwesterly later tonight and
continue tomorrow. Some backing of the winds may occur by evening.

BRB

&&

.Prev Discussion... /Issued 337 PM CDT MON JUN 20 2016/

Discussion...
Expansive mid-level ridge will keep Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles
dry through at least Wednesday morning. By Wednesday afternoon and
evening, a cold front is expected to work into northwest sections of
forecast area. Have begun low pops Wednesday afternoon as models
suggest mid-level ripples in slightly strengthening flow. Models also
suggest that the frontal boundary will lie across Panhandles through
Thursday night with perturbed mid-level flow continuing. Thus pops
continue these periods.

Friday and Saturday look to offer lower prospects for rain, as
closed mid-level low rapidly moves from Washington to North Dakota.
Result should be surface trof/dryline development across eastern New
Mexico with northwest sections of forecast area perhaps benefiting
from low-level convergence to support thunderstorms.

GFS and GEM predict that a stronger cold front will move into the
area Saturday night and Sunday, with pops warranted Saturday through
Monday.

Cockrell

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

17/11



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