Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 241726 AAB
AFDAMA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
1226 PM CDT FRI JUL 24 2015

.AVIATION...
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY TRY TO MAKE A RUN AT THE DHT AND GUY TAF
SITES THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS EVENING. BUT BELIEVE THAT THE COVERAGE
WILL BE PRETTY ISOLATED...SO WILL NOT MENTION TSRA AT A PARTICULAR
TAF SITE. THE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING SOME LOCALLY
STRONGER SURFACE WINDS AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
TO REMAIN VFR WITH SOUTHERLY WINDS AT OR BELOW 15 KNOTS.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 611 AM CDT FRI JUL 24 2015/

AVIATION...
12Z TAF CYCLE

UPPER HIGH WILL BUILD OVER WEST TEXAS AND THE PANHANDLES TODAY AND
TONIGHT. VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL THREE TAF SITES WITH
SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 KNOTS THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY...AND
THEN BACKING AROUND TO THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST AFTER 00Z SATURDAY.

SCHNEIDER

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 435 AM CDT FRI JUL 24 2015/

DISCUSSION...
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO MEANDER
AROUND THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. LOW POPS FOR
SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE STILL PLAUSIBLE ACROSS PARTS OF THE OK PNHDL
AS WELL AS NWRN AND NRN TX PNHDL THRU WED AFTERNOON AROUND THE WRN
AND NRN PERIPHERY OF THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE. ABV NORMAL TEMPERATURES
ARE FORESEEN THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

MEDIUM RANGE MODELS SUGGEST THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE MAY TRY TO REORIENT
ITSELF WWD TO THE SWRN STATES DURG THE MIDDLE TO LATTER PART OF NEXT
WEEK. SHOULD THE MODELS VERIFY...THEN SOME SEMBLANCE OF WNW TO NW
FLOW ALOFT MAY MATERIALIZE...WHICH IS USUALLY FAVORABLE FOR STEERING
STORMS INTO OUR FCST AREA FROM SERN CO AND NERN NM. IN ADDITION...
TEMPERATURES MAY COOL DOWN A BIT AROUND THE MIDDLE TO LATTER PART OF
NEXT WEEK. HAVE INCLUDED LOW POPS ACROSS THE ENTIRE TX AND OK PNHDLS
NEXT WED NIGHT THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY NIGHT BASED ON MEDIUM RANGE MODELS
PROGGED UPPER LEVEL PATTERN FOR THAT TIME PERIOD.

ANDRADE

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

&&

$$

15/88




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