Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FXUS64 KAMA 120525
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1225 AM CDT Thu Oct 12 2017

.AVIATION...
06Z Issuance...VFR conditions will prevail for the next 24 hours.
Southwesterly winds will remain aob 15kts tonight then increase
with gusts up to 25kts during the day. Winds should decrease again
after 00Z.

Beat

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 244 PM CDT Wed Oct 11 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Fairly quiet weather is expected across the Panhandles through
Friday thanks to an upper level high pressure system setting up
across the upper Gulf of Mexico. This high pressure will also
allow our temperatures to gradually warm back firmly in the 80s
both Thursday and Friday.

Our next cold front is expected to dip into the northern zones
Friday night briefly before moving back to the north during the
day on Saturday. The real cold surge won`t come until Saturday
night as a re-enforcing shot of cold air drops across the Plains.
This timeframe also remains our next chance to see precip across
portions of the Panhandles. With that being said, models have
continued to back off on precip potential late Friday night into
Saturday morning. Have kept mentionable POPs for now, but
confidence is on the low side. The area which has the best chance
to see precip with this system is across the eastern and
northeastern portions of the forecast area Saturday night into
Sunday morning. These locations will be closer to the upper
dynamics as the low swings across the Central Plains, and gets the
fastest return of low level moisture return.

Winds behind the front Sunday morning will also be on the rise
once again. Don`t think they will be as strong as our recent
frontal passage, but we will still get up into the breezy
category. Overnight low temperatures Sunday night into Monday
morning could also drop low enough to result in a light frost
across a good chuck of the area.

Northwest flow aloft will prevail across the Panhandle for the
start of the work week. With our winds quickly returning to a
southerly direction, we should see a gradual warming trend and
return to the mid to upper 70s by mid-week.

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$

16/3



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