Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 180528

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1228 AM CDT TUE OCT 18 2016

VFR conditions to prevail for the next 24 hours. A cold front has
just moved through the KAMA terminals to switch winds out of the
north with gusts up to 30kts. Expect gusts in the 20 to 30kt range to
prevail at all terminals through the majority of the overnight hours.
Winds should weaken tomorrow as the pressure gradient weakens and
slowly shift back towards the southeast.


.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 350 PM CDT MON OCT 17 2016/

After shattering three days worth of high temperature records, our
record breaking warmth will come to an end this afternoon. Gusty,
downslope winds and the thermal ridge were able to warm us into the
mid 90s and a few 100 degree readings despite periods of cirrus this
morning and afternoon. Heights are falling as the upper level ridge
sinks further into Texas and shifts slightly eastward as a more zonal
flow pattern sets up across the central portion of the country. A
cold front over northern Kansas will continue moving southward as
high pressure builds southward across CO. The next few days will
feature surface high pressure and temperatures much closer to typical
October weather. A bit stronger cold front will push through on
Wednesday night, but with no available moisture it will pass through
dry. Low temperatures on Wednesday night could bring some frost to
the northern zones, and though winds could get a little breezy behind
the front, fairly tranquil weather for October can be expected the
rest of the workweek.

Broad upper level ridging will again develop across the Southwest US,
and our temperatures will warm back into the low 80s as leeside
troughing develops again for the weekend. Still no precip chances in
site for the area, and the forecast package remains dry.


Critical fire weather conditions across the Panhandles will continue
this afternoon and early evening. 25 to 35 mph winds with higher
gusts will taper off near sunset, though sustained winds will likely
remain around 10 to 20 mph overnight. A cold front is working its
way through Nebraska and northern Kansas. It is expected to reach the
Oklahoma Panhandle this evening, and shift our southwest winds to
northwest. This will coincide with relative humidity values
rebounding to above 20 percent, and fire weather concerns should
dampen out as the evening progresses. Temperatures closer to normal
(upper 60s to low 70s) and higher relative humidity values should
preclude additional fire weather concerns for the remainder of the



.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...



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