Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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FXUS63 KDDC 241739
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1239 PM CDT SUN JUL 24 2016

...Updated for aviation discussion...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 235 AM CDT Sun Jul 24 2016

Ongoing weak rain showers and widely scattered thunderstorm have
been enhanced by outflow across the area this morning, feeding on
very good precipitable water values and steep mid level lapse
rates. So brief moderate rains and prolific lightning at times
will continue for the next few hours before probably dissipating
as the HRRR had been indicating. The possibility is good for late
afternoon redevelopment as the cold front pushes farther south
toward central Kansas. Additionally, the temperatures for this
afternoon may be significantly augmented by the weak outflow
moving through this morning especially wherever the ground has
become significantly wetted.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 235 AM CDT Sun Jul 24 2016

No significant changes in the extended period. A return to near
normal early late July/early August highs and lows though the
period with possibilities for diurnally driven convective events
pretty much any day through late in the week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday afternoon)
Issued at 1236 PM CDT Sun Jul 24 2016

A nearly stationary front will linger across western Kansas
through the period, resulting in generally easterly to
northeasterly winds. Thunderstorms may develop to the west of the
TAF sites this evening and then affect KGCK/KDDC between 03 and
12z. VFR conditions are expected outside of thunderstorms.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  98  70  91  70 /  20  40  20  30
GCK  96  69  91  69 /  20  40  20  20
EHA  98  69  92  68 /  20  50  20  20
LBL 100  70  93  69 /  20  40  20  20
HYS  95  69  90  70 /  30  30  20  20
P28 103  74  94  72 /  20  30  30  30

&&

.DDC Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Russell
LONG TERM...Russell
AVIATION...Finch


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