Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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FXUS63 KDDC 251800
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
100 PM CDT Mon Sep 25 2017

...UPDATED AVIATION SECTION...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 312 AM CDT Mon Sep 25 2017

Scattered showers and embedded thunderstorms are expected today
over the entire CWA. Otherwise mostly cloudy skies will be
observed. These showers are expected to dwindle overnight, mainly
across west central and far western Kansas. A surface frontal
boundary will continue to push through the area today shifting
winds from the southeast to more of a northerly direction. Highs
today are anticipated to range from the upper 50s across west
central Kansas to low-mid 70s across south central Kansas. Lows
tonight are progged to range from the mid 40s along the KS/CO
border to upper 50s across south central Kansas.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 312 AM CDT Mon Sep 25 2017

Precipitation chances end from northwest to southeast on Tuesday
as the upper level system moves northeast out of the area and the
surface cold front continues to push southward. A few lingering
showers will be possible across south central Kansas Tuesday
night. Otherwise expect mostly cloudy skies. Winds then shift from
a northerly direction to the northeast Wednesday through the end
of the long term period as high pressure infiltrates Kansas. This
upslope flow will allow for continued partly to mostly cloudy
skies across the CWA. A few showers will be possible along the
KS/OK border Wednesday and Thursday, however most places look to
remain dry. A slight chance of showers will then be possible
across far southwest Kansas Friday into this weekend. As for
temperatures, highs will generally be in the mid to upper 60s
Tuesday and Wednesday, then in the mid 60s to mid 70s Thursday and
Friday. Mid 70s are possible as we head into the weekend. Lows
will generally be in the mid 40s to mid 50s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday afternoon)
Issued at 1248 PM CDT Mon Sep 25 2017

A surface to 850 mb front was positioned northeast to southwest
through central Kansas into the Texas panhandle. An intense slug
of moist air was moving north across the Texas Panhandle,
supporting the Rapid Refresh solutions for another round of
frontal overrunning showers and thunderstorms late this afternoon
through the evening hours at any of the terminals. For most of
this TAF period, the ceilings will likely remain in the
LIFR/VLIFR categories, following the GFSMOS that is moee
pssimistic than the raw models.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  68  51  66  49 / 100  70  30  20
GCK  62  49  66  47 /  80  50  20  10
EHA  64  47  64  46 /  60  30  20  20
LBL  68  50  65  49 / 100  60  20  20
HYS  62  51  65  48 /  90  60  20  10
P28  76  57  68  55 /  70  70  60  40

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Hovorka_42
LONG TERM...Hovorka_42
AVIATION...Russell


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