Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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FXUS63 KDDC 091106
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
506 AM CST Fri Dec 9 2016

...Updated Aviation Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 1234 AM CST Fri Dec 9 2016

The main challenge for today is temperatures. Overnight low clouds are
concerning in terms of this mornings lows and the high for this afternoon.
Most of the meso guidance is struggling. The NMMB and RAP seem to at
least have a better clue on the current situation. As a result, will
undercut highs in the north as clouds should be slower to clear. To
the southwest, expect clearing of low clouds earlier and temps should
be warmer. No precipitation is expected today and into tonight.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 1234 AM CST Fri Dec 9 2016

Fairly ho hum weather will continue in the extended. The fb cranks out
low pops in the north on Sunday. This is in association with a fropa.
Moisture is very limited moisture looks limited to the mid levels. There
are additional pops in a week from now, and this may appear to have
a better chance with stronger jet dynamics associated with a synoptic
trof to the west. Of more importance with be a fairly strong high of
1040-hPa coming down the Northern Plains. 850-hPa temperatures are quite
cold, so have better confidence in going back in the meat freezer for
that time period. Otherwise, highs in the extended will be fairly seasonal
with ebb and flow.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Saturday morning)
Issued at 504 AM CST Fri Dec 9 2016

Southeasterly winds will increase to around 15 knots this
afternoon as a trough of low pressure at the surface deepens
across eastern Colorado. An area of low VFR and MVFR ceilings,
currently covering much of western Kansas, will move northeast and
gradually erode through the early to mid afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  35  19  45  27 /   0   0   0   0
GCK  37  18  45  25 /   0   0   0   0
EHA  45  23  59  33 /   0   0   0   0
LBL  41  21  54  29 /   0   0   0   0
HYS  30  16  40  25 /   0   0   0   0
P28  34  20  46  31 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Sugden
LONG TERM...Sugden
AVIATION...Burgert



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