Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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FXUS63 KDDC 141802
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1202 PM CST Thu Dec 14 2017

...UPDATE TO SHORT TERM...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 1200 PM CST Thu Dec 14 2017

Drier conditions are expected tonight into Friday as an upper level
shortwave trough kicks eastward across the Central Plains giving way
to a northwest flow aloft across the Western High Plains. A weaker
flow aloft and much drier air infiltrating into the high plains will
preclude any chances for precip during the period. Clearing skies
and colder air spreading into western Kansas tonight will allow
temperatures to drop down into the teens(F) across west central
Kansas tonight to lows in the 20s(F) in south central Kansas. A lee
side trough of low pressure will slowly develop and strengthen
across eastern Colorado Friday setting up a westerly downslope flow
across western Kansas, pushing H85 temperatures well above 0C. Under
mostly sunny skies, look for highs well up into the 50s(F) Friday
afternoon.

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 338 AM CST Thu Dec 14 2017

The upper trough will shift to the deep southern plains on Friday,
bringing back a quick return to southwest flow across our area.
Surface winds will probably be in the 10 to 15 mph range, adding
gusts in the afternoon, however not strong enough downslope or warm
enough source air to warm highs any higher than the 50s. Guidance is
marginally warmer on Saturday before the next cold front shifts
through the area, knocking highs back down into the 40s for Sunday,
and close to climate normals with lows expected in the 20s. The
remainder of the week continues to bring the dry pattern with highs
generally in the 50s and low in the 20s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday afternoon)
Issued at 1103 AM CST Thu Dec 14 2017

VFR conditions will prevail at all TAF sites through early Friday
morning. Northwest winds 10 to 20kt will persist through early this
evening as surface high pressure moves slowly south across eastern
Colorado. Winds are then expected to turn more westerly 5 to 10kt
overnight as the surface high drops further south into the South
Plains.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  50  21  56  29 /  10   0   0   0
GCK  47  18  56  26 /  10   0   0   0
EHA  43  21  58  29 /  30   0   0   0
LBL  47  20  57  27 /  20   0   0   0
HYS  46  20  56  29 /  20   0   0   0
P28  52  25  55  29 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...JJohnson
LONG TERM...Russell
AVIATION...JJohnson



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