Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS63 KDDC 262346
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
546 PM CST Sun Feb 26 2017

...Updated Aviation...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 212 PM CST Sun Feb 26 2017

Another day of quiet weather across southwest Kansas. Visible satellite
imagery only shows some high clouds over far southeast Barber county.
A fairly weak pressure gradient continues across the region and winds
are fairly weak for southwest Kansas standards. For tonight, the tranquil
weather pattern will continue. Zonal flow aloft will continue through
Monday. The net result is High Plains lee troughing. With the tighter
pressure gradient, the winds will be a little stronger Monday than
compared to today. Warmer temperatures are also expected across far
southwest Kansas with the warm air advection pattern. There will be
elevated fire weather concerns basically southwest of a line from Scott
City, KS to Ashland, KS. Outdoor burning is discouraged tomorrow. Otherwise,
highs tomorrow will range from upper 60s by Elkhart, KS to around 60F
to the north by I70.

.LONG TERM...(Monday night through Sunday)
Issued at 212 PM CST Sun Feb 26 2017

On Tuesday, a cold front will move through. There will quite the temperature
gradient across the region with only 50s to the north and 70s along
the Oklahoma border. Another day of elevated fire weather conditions
are possible on Tuesday. However, the worst may be located south of
the forecast district and into the Panhandles. The timing of the front
will determine this. Regardless, it will be breezy or even windy behind
the front and have gone with higher speeds after coordinating with
WFO neighbors. For precipitation, deep boundary layer moisture will
have been shunted off well the southeast, so significant precip is
not expected. Rain and snow with light amounts are forecast. Beyond
this, near normal temperatures and a dry forecast is expected Wed.
Highs will moderate to above normal by next weekend. Long range models
still show a quiet weather pattern through the second week of March.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Monday evening)
Issued at 530 PM CST Sun Feb 26 2017

VFR conditions at all sites until ~17Z for Dodge City and ~15Z
for Hays, where MVFR conditions will prevail for a few hours due
to low level stratus developing in Northern Oklahoma and lifting
northward into central Kansas. Low pressure is building along the
New Mexico and Texas boarder. As the pressure gradient tightens
tomorrow with the deepening low, southerly winds will gust up to
20 mph at all sites starting ~15-19Z.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  24  65  39  62 /   0  10   0  20
GCK  22  64  35  57 /   0   0   0  20
EHA  27  64  39  63 /   0   0   0  20
LBL  26  67  39  67 /   0   0   0  20
HYS  24  59  35  54 /   0   0   0  10
P28  30  63  43  71 /   0  20   0  10

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Sugden
LONG TERM...Sugden
AVIATION...Reynolds


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.