Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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477
FXUS63 KDDC 101703
AFDDDC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1103 AM CST Sat Dec 10 2016

...UPDATE TO AVIATION...

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 905 AM CST Sat Dec 10 2016

WV imagery indicates a zonal flow aloft prevailing across the Western
High Plains. Near the surface, a lee side trough of low pressure is
anchored across eastern Colorado.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 100 AM CST Sat Dec 10 2016

Some morning low clouds and freezing fog will be possible across far
western Kansas. These clouds will dissipate later this morning. There
will be a fairly large temperature gradient in highs today with downslope
winds warming up the southwest counties the most. To the northeast,
linger clouds and cooler 850-hPa temperatures will result in cooler
highs. Have a gradient of 60s southwest to upper 30s northeast. No
precipitation is expected this evening or tonight.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 100 AM CST Sat Dec 10 2016

Cooler temperatures overall are expected Sunday in association with
a fropa. This front will be dry with very limited low level moisture.
Highs from the upper 30s north to 50s south are expected. Temperatures
will moderate Monday with a light downslope wind and weak low level
warm air advection. Values might end up a few degrees above normal
with 50s. Another cold air mass will move through Tuesday and Wednesday,
with resultant lower temperatures. There is only a grazing shot at light
precipitation up north...however...moisture will be limited. Perhaps
a better chance at precip might be in the picture towards the very end
of the pd where a synoptic trof starts to influence the region with
stronger jet dynamics. Temperatures will trend colder late next week
as a strong high pressure center builds down from the north along with
associated much cooler 850-hPa temperatures.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday afternoon)
Issued at 1102 AM CST Sat Dec 10 2016

VFR conditions will prevail at all TAF sites through early Sunday
morning. Southerly winds 15 to 25kt will persist across western
Kansas through early this evening as a lee side trough remains
anchored across eastern Colorado. Southerly winds will diminish
this evening with the loss of daytime heating. A weak cold front
will then push southeastward into western Kansas early Sunday
morning turning winds northerly 15 to 25kt toward late morning.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  44  30  47  23 /   0   0   0   0
GCK  45  30  47  22 /   0   0   0   0
EHA  62  38  52  25 /   0   0   0   0
LBL  54  35  52  23 /   0   0   0   0
HYS  40  25  38  21 /   0   0   0   0
P28  47  32  48  24 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...JJohnson
SHORT TERM...Sugden
LONG TERM...Sugden
AVIATION...JJohnson



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