


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS
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703 FXUS63 KDDC 301638 AFDDDC Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Dodge City KS 1138 AM CDT Mon Jun 30 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... - Heavy thunderstorms with a flooding and damaging wind risk this morning - Temperatures not as hot - Storm chances return this weekend && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 250 AM CDT Mon Jun 30 2025 Early morning radar analysis show two areas of storms that bear watching as we continue into the rest of this morning. The first area is the heavy storms in the southeast portion of the CWA and the second area is storm development in northwest and north central Kansas. 07z mesoanalysis continue to show very weak flow aloft, leading to very slow storm motions. The area across the southeastern portions of the CWA features mainly a heavy rain risk, with some isolated areas of flooding possible. Farther north features slightly stronger flow and that is evidenced by more forward propagation of the storms, and that will translate into our northern CWA as the morning wears on. Steep mid level lapse rates and congealing into more of an MCS could foster strong to potentially isolated damaging wind gusts as the cluster becomes more organized. Storms look to clear the eastern CWA after 14z. As we go into later today, we will clear out and leave a mainly dry forecast across the forecast area. High pressure develops across the northern high plains, placing southwest Kansas in northeasterly winds. As such, temperatures will be not as hot as they have been, only topping out in the middle 80s and low 90s in our southeast counties. Looking through mid week, low to very low storm chances exist, with temperatures gradually warming back into the 90s by Friday and the weekend. Storm chances increase Friday and into this weekend. && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/... Issued at 1137 AM CDT Mon Jun 30 2025 VFR conditions will prevail with a few mid to high level clouds. Winds will be from the northeast this afternoon into this evening becoming light overnight and shifting to the south. Southerly winds are expected throughout the day tomorrow. && .DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...Bennett AVIATION...Hovorka_42