Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dodge City, KS

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FXUS63 KDDC 070544
AFDDDC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Dodge City KS
1144 PM CST SAT FEB 6 2016

...Updated Aviation Section...

.SYNOPSIS...
ISSUED AT 232 PM CST SAT FEB 6 2016

Upper level ridging will be persistent over the western United
States over the next week or so, with upper level troughing over
the East. This is typically a very dry pattern for western
Kansas. The brunt of the cold surges associated with the eastern
trough will stay well to the north and east of western Kansas.
Therefore, mainly average to above average temperatures can be
expected.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH Sunday)
ISSUED AT 232 PM CST SAT FEB 6 2016

A strong shortwave trough will race southeastward out of Canada
into the northern plains by Sunday. The associated cold front
will pass across western Kansas Sunday morning. Highs will once
again be a little cooler over the snow covered areas of central
and western Kansas, but much of the snow should be gone by late
afternoon. Highs ought to range from the lower 40s at Scott City
to the mid 50s at Medicine Lodge. Expect fairly windy conditions
in the wake of the front from late morning through the afternoon,
particularly in central Kansas. Ahead of the front tonight, lows
will be in the 20s under mostly clear skies.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday NIGHT THROUGH Saturday)
ISSUED AT 232 PM CST SAT FEB 6 2016

Surface high pressure will settle into western Kansas Sunday night
and Monday. Lows will be in the 20s and highs in the 40s. A
warming trend will develop after Monday with highs rising into the
60s and even close to 70 degrees by Wednesday as surface low
pressure develops across western Kansas, along with southwest winds.
Another weak cold front will pass across western Kansas late
Wednesday, with highs falling back into the 50s by Thursday. Some
warming may occur by Friday with 50s and 60s for highs.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z Sunday NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1139 PM CST SAT FEB 6 2016

Strong winds will occur Sunday, particularly in the afternoon
hours as a strong upper level disturbance moves across the Midwest
region. We do not expect any lowering of ceiling or reduction in
visibility behind the front, so the VFR forecast will continue
through this TAF period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DDC  27  47  25  46 /   0   0   0   0
GCK  24  44  24  43 /   0   0   0   0
EHA  27  47  24  48 /   0   0   0   0
LBL  27  48  28  48 /   0   0   0   0
HYS  29  41  23  35 /   0   0   0   0
P28  30  55  28  44 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.DDC Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NONE.
&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...Finch
SHORT TERM...Finch
LONG TERM...Finch
AVIATION...Umscheid


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