Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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000
FXUS64 KHGX 140433
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1133 PM CDT SAT SEP 13 2014

.DISCUSSION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION IN AVIATION SECTION...

&&

.AVIATION...
LOOK FOR MVFR CIGS TO PERSIST THE NEXT 6-12HRS WITH LITTLE
IMPROVEMENT FROM 15Z-19Z. WINDS WILL ALSO REMAIN AROUND 6-10KTS
ACROSS THE AREA ALTHOUGH DO EXPECT WINDS TO DROP CLOSER TO 5 KTS
IN THE MORNING. CIGS SHOULD IMPROVE TO VFR IN THE AFTERNOON AND
PERSIST INTO TOMORROW NIGHT.

39

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 841 PM CDT SAT SEP 13 2014/

DISCUSSION...
A NEARLY SATURATED SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW AT 850 AND 700 MB WILL KEEP
CLOUDS OVERHEAD FOR MOST OF THE NIGHT. THE COLD FRONT WAS LOCATED
WELL OFFSHORE. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
POSSIBLE BUT MAINLY OFFSHORE. DO NOT THINK THESE WILL WORK THEIR
WAY INLAND AT THIS TIME.

TWEAKED SKY CONDITIONS TO REFLECT MORE CLOUD COVER THIS EVENING.

40

CLIMATE...
AS OF 8 PM...THE MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE AT COLLEGE STATION FOR TODAY
HAS BEEN 69. IF THIS HOLDS UP...THIS WILL BREAK THE RECORD LOW
MAXIMUM TEMPERATURE FOR SEPTEMBER 13TH WHICH CURRENTLY IS 72 SET
BACK IN 1974.

40

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 633 PM CDT SAT SEP 13 2014/

DISCUSSION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION IN AVIATION SECTION...

AVIATION...
MAIN CONCERN NEXT 12-18HRS WILL BE MVFR CIGS. VIS SATELLITE
SHOWING SOME SLIGHT BREAKS SO COULD SEE BRIEF PERIODS OF VFR BUT
THEN THINK MVFR CIGS RE-DEVELOP AS AIRMASS COOLS OVERNIGHT WITH
STILL PLENTY OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE. WILL HOLD ONTO MVFR CIGS
THROUGH ABOUT 15-18Z TOMORROW AND THEN SHOULD SEE BKN CEILINGS
ABOVE 3000FT. WINDS WILL BE NNE SLOWLY TURNING TO ENE NEXT 24HRS
WITH LIKELY PERIODS OF CALM WINDS TONIGHT. CLOUD COVER SHOULD BE
ENOUGH TO KEEP FOG FROM DEVELOPING.

39

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      65  86  71  92  74 /  10  10  10  20  20
HOUSTON (IAH)              67  87  73  91  75 /  10  10  10  40  30
GALVESTON (GLS)            74  86  80  90  80 /  10  10  20  40  50

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 10 AM CDT SUNDAY FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES: GALVESTON BAY...MATAGORDA BAY...WATERS
     FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60
     NM...WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT
     20 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM...
     WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...40
AVIATION/MARINE...39



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