Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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000
FXUS64 KHGX 261730
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1130 AM CST THU FEB 26 2015

.AVIATION...
IFR CIGS BACKED UP TO THE I-45 CORRIDOR LAST NIGHT AND ARE NOW
ERODING. AREAS FROM CXO SOUTHWARD COULD SEE A TEMPORARY
BREAK...BUT MVFR CIGS ARE FILLING BACK IN FROM THE NORTH IN
ASSOCIATION WITH ANOTHER FRONTAL BOUNDARY PUSHING THRU SE TX. NOT
REAL CONFIDENT HOW FAR SOUTH THESE MVFR CIGS WILL MAKE IT AS
SEVERAL MODELS SUGGEST HOUSTON TERMINALS SWD REMAIN VFR THRU THE
AFTN HOURS. THEN AGAIN THEY HAVEN`T EXACTLY DONE A STELLAR JOB
THIS MORNING EITHER. SO...WILL KEEP AN EYE ON TRENDS AND POSSIBLY
AMEND FOR LOWER CIGS IF NECESSARY. OTHERWISE...AM FAIRLY CONFIDENT
EVERYONE WILL EVENTUALLY SEE CIGS DROP INTO THE 1000-2500FT RANGE
THIS EVENING AND PERSIST INTO LATE MORNING FRI. 47

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1005 AM CST THU FEB 26 2015/
THE COLD FRONT WAS MOVING THROUGH NORTH TEXAS AT 930 AM AND
SHOULD BE THROUGH SE TEXAS LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A
SHORTWAVE TROUGH WAS MOVING THROUGH NORTH TEXAS THIS MORNING AND
WAS HELPING PRODUCE SOME SNOW FLURRIES. THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM
WILL BE MOVING EAST OF THE STATE LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND NO
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED IN SE TEXAS.

THE CURRENT FORECAST IS ON TRACK AND NO CHANGES ARE PLANNED AT
THIS TIME. 40

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      48  32  43  36  50 /  10  10  10  20  30
HOUSTON (IAH)              55  35  51  36  57 /  10  10  10  10  30
GALVESTON (GLS)            54  41  51  45  58 /  10  10  20  20  30

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION THROUGH LATE FRIDAY NIGHT
     FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE
     MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL OUT 20 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND
     TO FREEPORT OUT 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST SATURDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL
     20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO
     60 NM.

&&

$$


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