Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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000
FXUS64 KHGX 172323
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
623 PM CDT SUN AUG 17 2014

.AVIATION...
SHRA/TSRA COVERAGE DECREASING EARLY THIS EVENING. COULD STILL SEE A
FEW MORE STORMS DEVELOP ALONG OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES...BUT THINK THAT
THE MAJORITY OF ACTIVITY IS DONE FOR THE EVENING AT/AROUND AREA TAF
SITES. QUIET NIGHT...BUT CANNOT TOTALLY RULE OUT SEEING SOME MVFR
CEILING DEVELOPMENT UP AROUND UTS AND CXO. SOME SHRA POSSIBLE BEFORE
SUNRISE NEAR THE COAST...THEN ANOTHER SCATTERED SHRA/TSRA DAY EXPECTED
ON MONDAY. 42
&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 332 PM CDT SUN AUG 17 2014/

DISCUSSION...
SCT SHRA/TSRA HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS THE REGION AS EXPECTED. VAST
MAJORITY SHOULD DISSIPATE W/ LOSS OF HEATING...BUT COULD STILL SEE
SOME BRIEFLY PULSE UP TO STRONG LEVELS IN THE MEANTIME. WILL NEED
TO KEEP AN EYE ACROSS NRN PARTS OF THE REGION AS WELL...AS MORE
INTENSE CELLS (AS OF THIS WRITING) SITUATED JUST TO OUR NORTH THROW
OUT SOME OUTFLOWS.

UPPER TROF/WEAKNESS WILL LINGER ACROSS NE TX FOR ANOTHER DAY OR
TWO THEN MOVE OFF TO THE EAST. SAME GENERAL WX SCENARIO (ISO/SCT
MORNING PRECIP ALONG THE COAST IN MORNING AND THEN INLAND IN AFTN)
WILL REPEAT UNTIL RIDGE BEGINS BUILDING IN FROM THE SE DURING THE
2ND HALF OF THE WEEK. DRIER & SLIGHTLY WARMER WX CAN THEN BE
EXPECTED INTO NEXT WEEKEND. 47

MARINE...
A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL LEAD TO INCREASING MODERATE ONSHORE
WINDS THAT WILL REACH TO CAUTION LEVELS TONIGHT OVER THE GULF
WATERS. THE WINDS WILL RELAX ON MONDAY AS LOW PRESSURE OVER CENTRAL
TEXAS MOVES EAST OF THE STATE.

CLIMATE...
31 YEARS AGO TONIGHT...HURRICANE ALICIA MADE LANDFALL ON THE WEST
END OF GALVESTON ISLAND.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      77  96  77  96  77 /  40  20  10  20  10
HOUSTON (IAH)              78  95  78  95  77 /  30  30   0  40   0
GALVESTON (GLS)            83  92  83  92  81 /  20  20  20  40  20

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 5
     AM CDT MONDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT
     TO THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM
     HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...38
AVIATION/MARINE...42


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