Area Forecast Discussion
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FXUS64 KLUB 092106
AFDLUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
306 PM CST Sat Dec 9 2017

.DISCUSSION...
The La Nina like weather pattern looks to continue for most of
next week. Anomalously positive mid/upper heights continue over
the NW Conus into western Canada with deep large amplitude trough
across the east. West Texas remains between these two features
with a dry NW flow pattern through the week. We will see temps
this week mostly above average...30s/60s...with an occasional weak
front Monday and again late Wednesday not doing much to cool
temperatures by December standards. We may develop some elevated
fire weather Friday and Saturday before another front possibly
brings some slightly higher humidity and cooler weather late next
weekend.

Occasional shortwaves in NW Flow will reenforce cold/snow across the
Great Lakes and NE. A Rex Block type pattern is somewhat persistent
through most of the work week with a cutoff low in the vicinity of
the Gulf of California. Energy in the northern stream will begin to
cut into the Pacific NW Ridge late in the week with models
struggling to handle the phasing of the energy across the western
Conus into the weekend. The previous 06Z GFS run developed a closed
low west of El Paso just beyond next weekend, but today`s morning
12Z run strands the low to the southwest with a dry more zonal
W/NW flow continuing across our region. All in all...very quiet
for this time of the year, with no strong precipitation signals or
significant cold intrusions on the horizon.

James

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNING/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

06



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