Area Forecast Discussion
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FXUS64 KLUB 180522
AFDLUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1222 AM CDT Tue Jul 18 2017

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions will prevail for the next 24 hours.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 610 PM CDT Mon Jul 17 2017/

AVIATION...
A few isolated storms will be possible across West Texas this
evening.  Otherwise, very VFR.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 246 PM CDT Mon Jul 17 2017/

DISCUSSION...
One more afternoon/evening of isolated convection looks possible
today before an upper level ridge shuts down the convection
chances.

Stronger mid and upper level easterly flow will shove monsoonal
moisture to the west of the region preventing convection from
developing. A TUTT around 250mb looks to track from east to west
from southeast Texas to far West Texas on Tuesday. However, this
looks to have minimal to no impact locally on the weather. An
upper ridge will intensify over the Central and South Plains
through late week aiding in keeping convection chances minimal.
This upper ridge will shift into the Mississippi River valley by
late week beginning to place West Texas in a height weakness
aloft. Monsoon moisture will become more plentiful by Saturday
bringing thunderstorm chances back from Saturday through early
next week.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

33


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