Area Forecast Discussion
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FXUS64 KLUB 240808

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
308 AM CDT SUN JUL 24 2016

Upper level ridge will continue to exert its influence on the region
although slightly less so today. This upper ridge will advance
westward today allowing thickness values to drop ever so slightly.
An increase in low level theta-e from the east may result in even
more of a cumulus field this afternoon. Furthermore, the added
moisture may keep temperatures a degree or two cooler. A surface
trough draped across northeastern New Mexico will edge closer to the
South Plains although most if not all convective activity will
remain to the northwest. A short wave rotating around the northeast
side of the ridge tonight will make its way into West Texas early
Monday morning. This may bring some precipitation activity during
the early morning hours on Monday.

The center of the upper ridge that has been locked overhead for
the past week is moving westward which will allow temperatures to
moderate and thunderstorm chances to return to the region starting
Monday. By mid week the upper pattern over the U.S. will show the
subtropical ridge split with centers toward the southeast part of
the country and over the the southwest. Because upper flow will
remain weak, day to day convective patterns will likely influence
the following day. As such picking the days with the highest rain
chances remains difficult but it appears the from Monday night or
Tuesday through Friday will have occasional periods with the best
rain chances.


.LUB Watches/Warnings/Advisories...


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