Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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FXUS63 KOAX 031710
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
1210 PM CDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1210 PM CDT TUE MAY 3 2016

MADE MINOR CHANGES TO TEMPERATURES AND WINDS FOR THIS AFTERNOON
AND UPDATED ALL PRODUCTS. WILL LIKELY MAKE A FEW MORE CHANGES WITH
ANOTHER UPDATE AROUND 1 PM.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 245 AM CDT TUE MAY 3 2016

TEMPERATURES LOOK TO BE THE MAIN CONCERN IN THE SHORT TERM.

VARIOUS SHORT WAVES MOVE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE AREA TODAY AND
TONIGHT WITH THE MEAN TROUGH SETTING UP OVER THE EASTERN CONUS ON
WEDNESDAY. RIDGE AXIS IN THE WEST MEANWHILE BEGINS TO EXPAND INTO
THE PLAINS REGION DURING THIS TIME. TREND TOWARD DRY AND WARMER
CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP THROUGH THE PERIOD GIVING THE AREA A
CHANCE TO DRY OUT BEFORE THE NEXT ROUND OF RAIN ARRIVES FOR
MOTHERS DAY WEEKEND.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 245 AM CDT TUE MAY 3 2016

UPPER RIDGE CONTINUES TO PUSH EAST ACROSS THE PLAINS REGION
THROUGH FRIDAY WITH WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUING BEFORE
GETTING SQUEEZED AND FLATTENED BY SOUTHWEST CLOSED LOW AND ANOTHER
TROUGH MOVING INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION. FRIDAY LOOKS TO BE
QUITE WARM AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THE GREAT LAKES TROUGH. THIS WILL ALSO SET UP THE
POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER EXTENDED PERIOD OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
MODELS MOVE THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO ALONG THE KANSAS NEBRASKA
BORDER ON SATURDAY THEN STALL IT IN THAT VICINITY THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND. THE SOUTHWEST SYSTEM EJECTS A SERIES OF
SHORT WAVES INTO THE REGION DURING THIS TIME BEFORE LIFTING OUT
EARLY NEXT WEEK FOR A CONTINUED CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS.

&&

.AVIATION...(18Z TAFS FOR KOMA...KLNK...KOFK THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 1210 PM CDT TUE MAY 3 2016

EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD. CUMULUS CLOUDS AROUND
THIS AFTERNOON WILL DISSIPATE THIS EVENING. CIRRUS CLOUDS SHOULD
THICKEN LATER TODAY THEN THIN OUT AGAIN TONIGHT. WINDS WILL TURN
TO THE NORTH AFTER PASSAGE OF WEAK COLD FRONT.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...MILLER
SHORT TERM...FOBERT
LONG TERM...FOBERT
AVIATION...MILLER



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