Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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FXUS63 KOAX 270831

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
331 AM CDT Thu Oct 27 2016

.SHORT TERM...(today through Saturday)
Issued at 330 AM CDT Thu Oct 27 2016

Latest medium range models indicate no significant active weather
to contend with over the next several days...leaving temperature
the main issue. A warming trend begins in earnest today in part to
decent mixing...particularly on the wrn periphery of the CWA where
aftn highs will be pushing into the upper 70s...with upper 60s
over our IA CWA. On Friday...good mixing once again will allow
temps to top out around 80. At this not believe record
highs at KOFK...85//KOMA and KLNK...84// will be in jeopardy.

A cool Canadian air mass invades the central plains then on Saturday
with the leading edge of the bndry moving thru the KOMA metro
sometime toward late aftn. Given this...could see max temp spread
ranging from the mid 60s north to the mid 70s south. However...have
noted that both the GFS20 and SREF are suggesting the nrn CWA could
reach max temps in the mid 70s between 18z-21z.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 330 AM CDT Thu Oct 27 2016

No major changes anticipated in the extended periods with dry
conditions continuing thru Tuesday aftn. Pcpn chances return late
Tuesday night thru Thursday in association with the approach of a
potent vort max progged to eject out of the swrn CONUS.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Thursday night)
Issued at 1146 PM CDT Wed Oct 26 2016

Light winds and low dewpoint spreads should favor areas of fog
development tonight. The stratus is hanging close to KOMA, however
should nudge east and this last hour had scattered at KOMA. High
clouds could hinder dense fog development, however KLNK appears to
have the best chance for these lower visibilities. Included
deteriorating conditions with MVFR/IFR/LIFR restrictions due to
fog. KOFK should see winds increase toward morning and this should
limit dense fog and did not mention vsbys lower than 1mi at this
time. 25 to 35kt Low level winds will mix southwest winds to 10 to
20kts toward mid day. Included low level wind shear in the evening
as 40+kt winds develop.




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