Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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FXUS63 KOAX 301823
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
123 PM CDT THU JUL 30 2015

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 118 PM CDT THU JUL 30 2015

A WEAK SURFACE FRONT IS SETTLING INTO THE AREA WITH SOUTHWEST
WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND A SHIFT TO THE WEST AND NORTHWEST
NORTH OF THE FRONT. SOME MID LEVEL MOISTURE IS ON THE INCREASE
FROM THE WEST AND MID LEVEL CLOUDS SHOULD INCREASE IN NORTHEAST
NEBRASKA. TEMPERATURES ARE WARMING THROUGH THE 80S AND HAVE
INCREASED TEMPERATURES A LITTLE ESPECIALLY AT THE HOTTER AIRPORT
LOCATIONS OF KOMA/KLNK AND KOFK.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 220 AM CDT THU JUL 30 2015

HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE WILL BE OVER THE LOWER MISSOURI
VALLEY TODAY WITH A COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS.
THE COLD FRONT WILL PUSH SLOWLY SOUTH TONIGHT REACHING THE
NORTHERN NEBRASKA BORDER BY FRIDAY MORNING AND SOUTHERN NEBRASKA
BY EARLY FRIDAY EVENING. THIS FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BRING A
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TO SOUTHERN PARTS OF THE AREA LATE FRIDAY
AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY NIGHT AS IT STALLS ACROSS NORTHERN KANSAS
THEN WASHES OUT BY SATURDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIST FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON INTO SATURDAY
NIGHT FOR MUCH OF THE AREA AS SHORT WAVE ENERGY MOVES ACROSS THE
REGION IN STRONG NORTHWEST FLOW.

LITTLE IN THE WAY OF COOLING DURING THE PERIOD WITH TEMPERATURES
AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 220 AM CDT THU JUL 30 2015

AREA REMAINS IN NORTHWEST FLOW THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH WESTERN
RIDGE AND EASTERN TROUGH IN PLACE IN THE UPPER PATTERN. PERIODIC
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FROM MONDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY AS
ANOTHER COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA AND STALLS. MAJOR
DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE GFS AND EURO DURING THIS TIME WITH MORE
ENERGY AND FLATTER RIDGE ASSOCIATED WITH THE EURO. AS A RESULT
HAVE LIMITED POPS TO LOW CHANCE CATEGORY AT THIS TIME.

&&

.AVIATION...(18Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 1243 PM CDT THU JUL 30 2015

A WEAK FRONT WILL SLIP INTO THE AREA WITH SOME INCREASING MID
CLOUDS IN NORTHEAST NEBRASKA TODAY. THIS AREA WILL SHIFT SOUTHWARD
OVERNIGHT AND FRIDAY. SCT-BKN MID CLOUDS FL100...SOME SCATTERED
LOWER CLOUDS WILL BEGIN TO MOVE IN FRIDAY WITH DEEPENING MOISTURE.
SPOTTY SHOWERS/ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MAY TRY TO FORM. CONFIDENCE
TOO LOW IN TIMING AND LOCATION TO INCLUDE IN THE TAFS AT THIS
TIME.


&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE...ZAPOTOCNY
SHORT TERM...FOBERT
LONG TERM...FOBERT
AVIATION...ZAPOTOCNY



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