Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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FXUS63 KOAX 031139
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
639 AM CDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 245 AM CDT TUE MAY 3 2016

TEMPERATURES LOOK TO BE THE MAIN CONCERN IN THE SHORT TERM.

VARIOUS SHORT WAVES MOVE SOUTH AND EAST OF THE AREA TODAY AND
TONIGHT WITH THE MEAN TROUGH SETTING UP OVER THE EASTERN CONUS ON
WEDNESDAY. RIDGE AXIS IN THE WEST MEANWHILE BEGINS TO EXPAND INTO
THE PLAINS REGION DURING THIS TIME. TREND TOWARD DRY AND WARMER
CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP THROUGH THE PERIOD GIVING THE AREA A
CHANCE TO DRY OUT BEFORE THE NEXT ROUND OF RAIN ARRIVES FOR
MOTHERS DAY WEEKEND.

.LONG TERM...(THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 245 AM CDT TUE MAY 3 2016

UPPER RIDGE CONTINUES TO PUSH EAST ACROSS THE PLAINS REGION
THROUGH FRIDAY WITH WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUING BEFORE
GETTING SQUEEZED AND FLATTENED BY SOUTHWEST CLOSED LOW AND ANOTHER
TROUGH MOVING INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION. FRIDAY LOOKS TO BE
QUITE WARM AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THE GREAT LAKES TROUGH. THIS WILL ALSO SET UP THE
POTENTIAL FOR ANOTHER EXTENDED PERIOD OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE REGION DURING THE WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
MODELS MOVE THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY TO ALONG THE KANSAS NEBRASKA
BORDER ON SATURDAY THEN STALL IT IN THAT VICINITY THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND. THE SOUTHWEST SYSTEM EJECTS A SERIES OF
SHORT WAVES INTO THE REGION DURING THIS TIME BEFORE LIFTING OUT
EARLY NEXT WEEK FOR A CONTINUED CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS.

&&

.AVIATION...(12Z TAFS FOR KOMA...KLNK...KOFK THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 631 AM CDT TUE MAY 3 2016

11Z SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND IR SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE SOME
MID AND HIGH-LEVEL CLOUDINESS ASSOCIATED WITH A VORTICITY MAXIMUM
TRANSLATING FROM NE INTO KS. WHILE PATCHY FOG IS BEING OBSERVED
OVER PARTS OF E-CNTRL NE INTO SWRN IA THIS MORNING...WE DO NOT
ANTICIPATE VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS AT ANY OF THE TAF SITES. LIGHT
WLY SURFACE WINDS WILL GRADUALLY VEER TO NWLY TONIGHT WITH THE
PASSAGE OF A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA. OTHERWISE...EXPECT VFR
CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...FOBERT
LONG TERM...FOBERT
AVIATION...MEAD


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