Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000
FXUS63 KOAX 020752
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
252 AM CDT WED SEP 2 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 245 AM CDT WED SEP 2 2015

LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS EXTEND FROM CENTRAL IOWA INTO SOUTHEAST
CORNER OF NEBRASKA AT 07Z. DEVELOPMENT WAS SLOWER THAN EXPECTED BY
YESTERDAYS MODELS BUT FAIRLY CLOSE WITH CURRENT TIMING. EXPECT
MOST OF THE STORMS TO BE OUT OF THE AREA BY 12Z WITH HOT DAYTIME
TEMPERATURES THE MAIN FEATURE THROUGH THE REST OF THE PERIOD.

UPPER RIDGE AMPLIFIES RAPIDLY AFTER TODAY AS WEST COAST TROUGH
DEEPENS WITH AREA EXPECTED TO BE MORE UNDER INFLUENCE OF RIDGE
DURING THE PERIOD. STRONGER FLOW AND SHORT WAVE ENERGY LOOKS TO
STAY WEST OF THE AREA WHERE BETTER CHANCE OF PRECIP WILL EXIST. AT
THIS TIME HAVE SOME SMALL POPS FOR PARTS OF NW CWA WHICH MAY GET
BRUSHED AT TIMES BUT MOST AREAS EXPECTED TO STAY DRY THROUGH
FRIDAY.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 245 AM CDT WED SEP 2 2015

UPPER PATTERN TRANSITIONS IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD WITH STRONG FLOW
ACROSS THE NORTHERN CONUS FLATTENING RIDGE AND PUSHING IT SOUTH.
THIS RESULTS IN BETTER CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY NEXT WEEK
WITH COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE REGION. TEMPERATURES ALSO COOL
DURING THE PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION...(06Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 1151 PM CDT TUE SEP 1 2015

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD AT
KOMA...KLNK...AND KOFK. DUE TO A STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET
DURING THE NIGHT...LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR AT 2000 FEET CAN BE
EXPECTED AT KOMA...KLNK...AND KOFK.


&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...FOBERT
LONG TERM...FOBERT
AVIATION...SMITH


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