Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000
FXUS63 KOAX 271153
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
553 AM CST THU NOV 27 2014

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 230 AM CST THU NOV 27 2014

QUIET WEATHER IN THE SHORT TERM WITH TEMPERATURES THE MAIN FOCUS.

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDED FROM NORTHWEST MINNESOTA INTO
EASTERN KANSAS AT 08Z WITH SOME PATCHY LOW CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA.
AS SURFACE RIDGE DRIFTS EAST TODAY A WARM FRONT WILL LIFT ACROSS
THE WESTERN HIGH PLAINS SPREADING MUCH WARMER AIR BACK INTO THE
REGION FOR POST THANKSGIVING TRAVEL. THE MILD AIR WILL REMAIN
THROUGH SATURDAY BEFORE A COLD FRONT DROPS BACK INTO THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT.

.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 146 AM CST THU NOV 27 2014

AS THE COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH SOUTH ANOTHER BATCH OF COLD
AIR WILL SPREAD INTO THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. THE COLD
AIR IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK BEFORE AN UPPER
WAVE IN THE SOUTHERN STREAM FLOW APPROACHES THE CENTRAL PLAINS
WITH MODERATING TEMPERATURES AND A CHANCE OF PRECIP BY MID WEEK.
OPERATIONAL GFS AND ECMWF STILL SHOW SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES IN
TIMING AND STRENGTH DURING THIS PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION...(12Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 550 AM CST THU NOV 27 2014

EXPECT MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH CLOUD BASES
MOSTLY AT OR ABOVE 4000 FEET. MVFR CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE AT
KOFK FOR A FEW HOURS THIS MORNING. LIGHT NORTH/NORTHEAST WINDS
WILL TURN TO THE SOUTHEAST OR SOUTH AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. AS LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE STARTS TO RETURN TONIGHT...THIS COULD CAUSE SOME
FOG TO DEVELOP. FOR NOW...DID NOT MENTION THAT IN THE TAFS...BUT
FOG MAY HAVE TO BE ADDED WITH LATER ISSUANCES.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...FOBERT
LONG TERM...FOBERT
AVIATION...MILLER



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