Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS63 KOAX 031140
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
540 AM CST WED FEB 3 2016

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 322 AM CST WED FEB 3 2016

WINTER STORM HAS FINALLY CLEARED THE CWA...BUT GUSTY WINDS STILL
CREATING PATCHY BLOWING SNOW. WITH WINDS REMAINING SOMEWHAT GUSTY
THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY...IT IS PROBABLE THIS WILL CONTINUE UNTIL
LATE AFTERNOON MAINLY OVER OPEN AREAS TO THE NORTH. FOR
THIS...WILL OPT FOR AN ADVISORY THRU THE MORNING HOURS.


OTHERWISE...GOOD CONSENSUS AMONGST LATEST MODELS THAT LARGE SCALE
FLOW WILL BE PROGRESSIVE OVER THE NEXT SEVERALS DAYS WITH THE NEXT
PAC NW SHORTWAVE TROF MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS ON FRIDAY.
THERE IS AT LEAST A SMALL CHANCE FOR SOME LIGHT SNOW GIVEN
INCREASING LIFT PROVIDED VIA COMBINATION OF UPPER SUPPORT VIA DPVA
ALONG WITH MODERATE 285K ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE. FOCUS FOR POSSIBLE
SNOW IS PROGGED OVER THE NRN CWA ALONG PATH OF 500-300MB QVECTOR
CONVERGENCE. THEREFORE WILL INTRODUCE SMALL POPS. OTHERWISE...SFC
METEOGRAMS INDICATE A MODEST WARMING TREND HEADING INTO THIS
WEEKEND.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 322 AM CST WED FEB 3 2016

NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES NEEDED IN THE EXTENDED PERIODS. SMALL POPS
FOR LIGHT SNOW ON MONDAY STILL REASONABLE GIVEN DEEP UPPER
TROF/STOUT VORT MAX DROPPING THRU THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THIS DEEP TROF
WILL BRING THE NEXT ARCTIC AIR MASS TO THE REGION NEXT
TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION...(12Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 537 AM CST WED FEB 3 2016

MVFR CIGS BETWEEN FL015 AND FL025 WILL REMAIN OVER EASTERN
NEBRASKA TAF SITES THROUGH ABOUT 20Z BEFORE SLIDING OFF TO THE
EAST. SCATTERED TO BROKEN MID LEVEL CLOUDS ARE FORECAST AFTER
20Z. NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS GUSTING TO 30KT WILL BEGIN TO
GRADUALLY DIMINISH AFTER 16Z...AND SHOULD BECOME WEST TO SOUTHWEST
AT 10KT OR LESS AFTER 21Z.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR NEZ011-012-
     015>018-030>034-042>045.

IA...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL NOON CST TODAY FOR IAZ043-055-056.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...DEE
LONG TERM...DEE
AVIATION...DERGAN


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.