Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000
FXUS63 KOAX 240517
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
1117 PM CST FRI JAN 23 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 253 PM CST FRI JAN 23 2015

MAIN CONCERN IN THE SHORT TERM IS A CLIPPER SYSTEM THAT WILL BRING
A SMALL CHANCE OF RAIN TO THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT. BEFORE THAT
ARRIVES...VERY MILD WEATHER WILL CONTINUE WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S TO MID 50S WITH WESTERLY SURFACE WINDS. CLIPPER COULD BRING
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO NORTHEAST NEBRASKA BY LATE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...THAN A CHANCE OF RAIN SATURDAY NIGHT AS THE SURFACE
LOW MOVES FROM THE NORTHERN PLAINS TO THE MID MISSISSIPPI RIVER
VALLEY BY DAYBREAK SUNDAY. THERMAL PROFILES SUGGEST THAT THIS
WILL BE MOSTLY A RAIN EVENT...BUT COULD END AS A RAIN/SNOW MIX
SUNDAY MORNING ALONG/EAST OF THE MISSOURI RIVER. WINDS WILL
SUBSTANTIALLY INCREASE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...BUT
PROBABLY REMAINING BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA. WILL BE COOLER SUNDAY
WITH HIGHS MOSTLY IN THE 40S...BUT STILL ABOVE NORMAL. BREEZY
NORTHWEST WINDS CONTINUE MONDAY WITH EXCELLENT MIXING ONCE AGAIN
WHICH SHOULD HELP TO BOOST US BACK INTO THE 50S FOR MOST AREAS.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 253 PM CST FRI JAN 23 2015

VERY MILD WEATHER CONTINUES EARLY IN THE PERIOD WITH DRY WEATHER.
HIGHS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY STILL MOSTLY IN THE 50S. THERE IS A
WAVE MOVING THROUGH ON WEDNESDAY ASSOCIATED WITH A COOL FRONT.
MOISTURE IS VERY MEAGER THUS WILL LEAVE THE FORECAST DRY FOR
NOW...BUT WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR. SLIGHTLY COOLER WEATHER FOR
THURSDAY...AND EVEN COOLER FOR FRIDAY. COULD ALSO SEE A SMALL
CHANCE OF SNOW ACROSS NORTHEAST NEBRASKA BY FRIDAY AS THE NEXT
CLIPPER MOVES INTO THE AREA WITH TEMPS BACK TO NEAR NORMAL.

&&

.AVIATION...(06Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 1115 PM CST FRI JAN 23 2015

THERE SHOULD BE AN INCREASE IN MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDINESS ON
SATURDAY AHEAD OF THE NEXT SHORTWAVE TROUGH THAT WILL MOVE INTO
THE AREA BY LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING. MVFR CEILINGS COULD
DEVELOP WITH LIGHT PCPN SATURDAY NIGHT BUT FOR NOT KEPT CLOUD
BASES ABOVE 3500 FEET.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...DEWALD
LONG TERM...DEWALD
AVIATION...MILLER


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