Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000
FXUS63 KOAX 230003
AFDOAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
603 PM CST Mon Jan 22 2018

.SHORT TERM...(Tonight through Thursday)
Issued at 300 PM CST Mon Jan 22 2018

Winter storm starting to wind down over the area at 20Z as upper
low over northern Missouri tracks toward western Illinois. Light
snow expected to linger over eastern parts of the area into the
evening before ending towards midnight with western parts of the
area done by 00Z. Only small accumulations less than an inch
expected after 00Z. Winds will be another matter, remaining
strong into the evening then gradually diminishing overnight.

Upstream observations would suggest the wind will likely produce
some visibility restrictions in blowing snow for a while and will
consider replacing headlines with Winter Weather Advisory in
areas that experienced significant snow and wind today. Received
reports of stranded vehicles from several locations this afternoon
and continued hazardous travel will be likely into tonight before
winds diminish significantly.

Rest of the period looks quiet weatherwise with a warming trend
through the work week as upper ridge moves into the region.
Temperatures will be the main challenge being quite variable
during this time due to the wide range of snow cover across the
area. Expect areas with deep snow cover to trend below guidance
values with daytime highs having trouble getting out of the mid
30s.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Monday)
Issued at 300 PM CST Mon Jan 22 2018

Extended period looks quiet for now with warming through Friday
followed by cooling over the weekend. GFS and EURO do differ in
solutions however over the weekend with more troughing indicated
by EURO model. Otherwise, trend toward warmer conditions return
for early next week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Tuesday evening)
Issued at 553 PM CST Mon Jan 22 2018

The snow is winding down and is patchy, however the blowing snow
and winds will continue this evening 20 to 30kts gusting to 35 to
40kts. MVFR/IFR ceilings and visibilities with the patchy snow
and blowing snow this evening. The winds and visibilities should
improve, however the ceilings will last into Tuesday.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...Winter Weather Advisory until 10 PM CST this evening for NEZ052-
     053.

     Winter Storm Warning until 6 PM CST this evening for NEZ052-053.

     Winter Weather Advisory until 10 PM CST this evening for NEZ067-
     068-088>092.

     Blizzard Warning until 10 PM CST this evening for NEZ011-012-
     015>018-030>034-042>045-050-051-065-066-078.

IA...Winter Weather Advisory until 10 PM CST this evening for IAZ055.

     Winter Storm Warning until 6 PM CST this evening for IAZ055.

     Winter Weather Advisory until 10 PM CST this evening for IAZ056-
     069-079-090.

     Blizzard Warning until 10 PM CST this evening for IAZ043.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Fobert
LONG TERM...Fobert
AVIATION...Zapotocny



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