Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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FXUS63 KEAX 301952
AFDEAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
152 PM CST Wed Nov 30 2016

.Discussion...
Issued at 152 PM CST WED NOV 30 2016

Quiet and seasonal weather is expected through the end of the work
week. Saturday night into Sunday, a weak northern stream wave will
move through the area. High pressure looks to be situated over the
mid-Mississippi Valley and should prevent decent moisture return
into the area. So the bulk of precipitation will fall much further
south. But over our region, the forcing associated with the upper
wave may be enough to wring out very light precipitation which,
depending on the temperature, may initially fall as a wintry mix
overnight/early in the morning, before becoming all liquid at
temperatures warm.

That wave will quickly push east and by Monday into Tuesday, another
wave will move into the area from the southwest. This will spread
mainly rain across the area but as with the previous system,
depending on the temperature at precipitation onset, may initially
be a wintry mix. By the middle portions of next week, models
continue to depict a strong storm system in the middle of the
country. But there is still a huge amount of variability both from
model run to model run and between models. So at this time it`s
impossible to provide any kind of detail with any level of
confidence as it will likely change with the next model run.


&&

.Aviation...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday Afternoon)
Issued at 1119 AM CST WED NOV 30 2016

Ceilings are rising to above 3000 FT and also beginning to break up.
But low VFR ceilings should linger through sunset. Winds will also
remain strong from the west-northwest through sunset as well before
decreasing overnight and through the day tomorrow.


&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

$$

Discussion...CDB
Aviation...CDB


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