Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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FXUS63 KEAX 282048
AFDEAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
348 PM CDT Wed Sep 28 2016

.Discussion...
Issued at 3:48 PM CDT WED SEP 28 2016

The cold front that moved through this morning is well to the south
now, leaving us with northerly winds and drier conditions for the
next few days. Lows tonight are expected to be in the mid to upper
40s; the coldest we`ve seen since mid-May. In addition, if the
clouds hold off tonight fog will be possible in the morning hours.

Tomorrow, the nearly stacked low pressure system centered over
Indiana will continue to move slowly south, keeping us on the back-
end side of the system with northerly winds. This system will back
track a little on Friday bringing in some cloud cover most of the day
for the eastern part of the CWA before finally moving NE on Saturday.
High temperatures through the weekend will be in the low to mid 70s
with lows in the mid 50s.

A high pressure system builds into the area Saturday as the
previously mentioned low pressure system moves out. Winds will shift
to the south and will increase high temperatures to the upper 70s,
low 80s through Wednesday. The high pressure will keep weather
conditions dry and mostly clear through Monday night. Another low
pressure system will begin to move in Monday night into Tuesday and
will increase rain chances through Wednesday night.

&&

.Aviation...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday Afternoon)
Issued at 1215 PM CDT WED SEP 28 2016

VFR conditions expected through the majority of the forecast
period...however early morning fog will be possible Thursday morning.
In the meantime...northerly winds of 10-15 kts will weaken this
evening under mostly clear skies aloft. Weak winds combined with
falling temps will allow dewpoint values to drop near or below
afternoon crossover temps...setting the stage for developing VSBY
restrictions after 09z. For now...have hit STJ with
VSBY restrictions...however confidence at MCI remains too low at this
point to include this far out in the forecast period. Will upcoming
shifts the opportunity to view later model runs before making any
final decisions.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

$$

Discussion...Grana
Aviation...32



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