Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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FXUS63 KEAX 182322
AFDEAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
622 PM CDT Sat Oct 18 2014

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 243 PM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014

Gradually warming temperatures and continued dry conditions are
expected for the remainder of the weekend and the first half of next
week as our upper trough departs to the east and warmer conditions
build in from the west. Another shortwave trough will drop southeast
across the Great Lakes region on Monday, driving a weak cold front
through the CWA and possibly fueling a few scattered showers across
the southern half of MO; however, no rainfall is expected in our
area, and temperatures should not be significantly impacted.

The next feature to watch continues to be the trough currently well
offshore in the north Pacific. This feature will gradually push east
by early next week, and may arrive in the central CONUS Wednesday
night or Thursday. Model consistency remains poor with the strength,
timing, and track of the trough as it heads east, therefore although
it results in the best chance of rainfall in the next seven days,
confidence is low for the chance of any measurable precipitation.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday Evening)
Issued at 614 PM CDT SAT OCT 18 2014

Continued VFR conditions are expected to remain in place through the
forecast period. Northeasterly winds will ultimately become
southwesterly by Sunday afternoon, while increasing slightly in
speed. Mid-level clouds will begin to creep in during that time as
well.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Laflin
AVIATION...Leighton/Welsh





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