Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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FXUS63 KEAX 271829

National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
129 PM CDT Thu Oct 27 2016

Issued at 340 AM CDT THU OCT 27 2016

Tranquil and mild conditions will be the rule for the bulk of the
forecast period until thunderstorm chances increase Tuesday night
into Wednesday. This morning surface high pressure resides over the
area leading to light winds. The western CWA is experiencing mainly
clear skies with just a few high clouds which is adding in fog
development. Consequently a fog advisory is out for eastern Kansas
and western Missouri until 9AM. High pressure will remain in control
until late this afternoon. Mixing will be weak by sunny skies will
still allow highs to climb into the 60s to lower 70s. WAA will get
underway this evening keeping winds elevated enough tonight to limit
fog potential. Strong WAA will continue on Friday and Saturday
allowing temperatures to rise to 15 to 20 degrees above normal.
Highs Friday and Saturday will be in the mid 70s to lower 80s. A
weak shortwave moving through the Upper Midwest Saturday night will
force a weak cold front into the area that will stall across the CWA
on Sunday. This will drop temperatures a bit however, they will
still be nearly 10 degrees above normal with highs in the upper 60s
to mid 70s. Sunday night the stall front will lift back north as a
warm front. Strong WAA on Monday will again drive temperatures well
above normal but will make for some very pleasant weather for trick-
or-treaters. Expect highs in the mid 70s to lower 80s. Monday night,
another upper level shortwave moving through the Upper Midwest will
drive another cold front into the area which will again stall across
central Missouri. This will drop temperatures into the upper 60s to
mid 70s on Tuesday. Tuesday night a LLJ will develop across the
southern Plains overriding the frontal boundary and providing the
lift for thunderstorm development. These thunderstorms will then
continue into Wednesday with temperatures in the mid 60s to lower


.Aviation...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday Afternoon)
Issued at 128 PM CDT THU OCT 27 2016

Clear weather expected through the period. Could see some very patchy
fog later tonight but not nearly as widespread as what occurred this




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