Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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FXUS63 KEAX 281720
AFDEAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
1220 PM CDT THU APR 28 2016

.Discussion...
Issued at 357 AM CDT THU APR 28 2016

A surface cold front has pushed through the area as of Wednesday
with relatively cool and dry air settling into place. Low level
stratus associated with the back side of the upper low will linger
across northern Missouri today. A thermal gradient will establish
north and south of the Missouri River today with northwesterly
surface flow and cloud cover keeping high temperatures across the
northern counties in the upper 50s to low 60s, with temperatures
south reaching the low 70s by the afternoon. Thursday will be
pleasant with dry conditions expected and comfortable temperatures
throughout the day.

Storm chances will return early Friday morning for eastern Kansas
and western Missouri while expanding eastward as another trough
deepens over the desert southwest. During this time a surface low
will trek from the Texas panhandle northeast and ultimately center
over northwestern Missouri by Saturday morning. Warm air advection
ahead of this feature will likely produce widespread showers with
embedded thunderstorms Friday afternoon with increasing chances
overnight as the attendant cold front approaches western Missouri.
Lingering activity will continue through much of Saturday will
decreasing pops through Sunday afternoon. Still not anticipating
much in the way of severe this far north, though this potential will
need to monitored, specifically for areas south of I-70.

As the trough works its way east by the early week, it will be
absorbed into a deeper low just north of the Great Lakes region and
swing southwest near the area. As this feature deepens, could see
additional showers in the early week for the southern CWA. Aside
from this, the first half of the upcoming week looks dry for most
areas as a mid-level ridge builds across the Central Plains by the
mid-week.

&&

.Aviation...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday Afternoon)
Issued at 1220 PM CDT THU APR 28 2016

MVFR clouds currently lingering across the western Missouri
terminals have proven stubborn in scattering out this morning, but
will scatter out later this afternoon with continued modest west
surface winds. As this occurs winds will veer to the northwest and
north late this afternoon and tonight. Otherwise, high CIGs are
expected to move back into late tonight and linger through Friday
ahead of a growing chance for storms that will arrive in the region
Friday afternoon, but these CIGs are expected to be VFR.

&&

.EAX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
KS...None.
MO...None.
&&

$$

Discussion...Welsh
Aviation...Cutter



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