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000
FXUS63 KSGF 232043
AFDSGF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
243 PM CST Fri Jan 23 2015

...Above Average Temperatures and Dry Weather Continues This
Weekend into Next Week...

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Saturday)
Issued at 124 PM CST FRI JAN 23 2015

After some morning clouds and morning fog...skies have cleared out
nicely across the Missouri Ozarks and southeast Kansas.
Temperatures are actually quite seasonable this afternoon with
readings in the upper 30s to lower 40s. A weak surface high was
located over central Missouri this afternoon and we will continue
to see clear skies tonight with light winds.

Saturday looks to be another nice day across the area with a
west to southwest winds and sunny skies. Temperatures will be
about 10 degrees milder than today.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday Night through Friday)
Issued at 124 PM CST FRI JAN 23 2015

A clipper system will be moving across the Midwest into the Ohio
River Valley on Sunday. This will move a dry cold front through
the area on Sunday and the winds will pick up out of the northwest
during the day. It will be gusty Sunday afternoon with wind gusts
up to 35 mph possible. The better potential for any precip will be
to our northeast but areas across central Missouri and the far
eastern Missouri Ozarks may see a few sprinkles or a light shower
Sunday as the system moves on by.

A dry northwest flow will keep the weather mostly quiet and dry
into next week with a ridge and height rises moving into the
region by the middle of next week. This will bring milder air into
the area with temperatures approaching the lower 60s by Wednesday
if not warmer. Another weak and moisture starved front will move
through Thursday to bring slightly cooler weather for the end of
next week. But overall above average temperatures and mostly dry
conditions will continue over the next 7 days with no significant
precip chances or systems.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Saturday Afternoon)
Issued at 1120 AM CST FRI JAN 23 2015

A few afternoon cumulus clouds are expected across southern
Missouri, but coverage will be too limited for MVFR potential. A
period of high clouds is then expected overnight with VFR
conditions prevailing. A weak frontal boundary will then pass
through the region Saturday morning shifting winds around to the
west-northwest. Some weather models are indicating a brief
increase in low level moisture behind this front. If this
moisture does materialize, there will be the potential for a band
of IFR ceilings Saturday morning. We have not included IFR at this
time given limited confidence, but will continue to monitor this
potential for future TAFs.


&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Griffin
LONG TERM...Griffin
AVIATION...Schaumann