854
FXUS63 KSGF 261743
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1243 PM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Daily heat index values in the middle to upper 90s into early
  next week.

- Daily shower and thunderstorm activity into next week, mainly
  isolated to scattered in nature. No all day washouts expected.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Issued at 1259 AM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025

Today:

The upper high that has been influencing the area has shifted
slightly south. This will allow some shortwave energy to
interact with the region, resulting in a 20-40% chance for
isolated to scattered showers and storms mainly northwest of
I-44 this afternoon and evening. Look for highs in the around 90
today with heat index values in the mid to upper 90s.

Tonight and Friday:

The forecast for this period grows increasingly uncertain. HRRR
shows potential for an MCS to move through the area tonight into
Friday morning while the 3km NAM takes that west of the CWA,
but confidence in any of these solutions is low at this time.
Friday forecast is more in question due to unknowns with morning
convective potential. This could cause cloudier skies, cooler
temperatures (highs in the 80s) and reduced chances for
convection in the afternoon/evening. Current forecast features
30-50% chances for showers and storms Friday afternoon and
evening, but stay tuned for updates.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1259 AM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025

Shortwave energy will continue to bring daily rain chances into
the middle of next week, with the greatest chances in the
afternoons/evenings. Look for 40-50% chances on Saturday, 50-60%
Sunday and Monday, and 20-40% Tuesday and Wednesday.

Temperatures through this period will be susceptible to changes
due to convective trends, but generally looking at highs in the
mid 80s to low 90s and lows in the upper 60s to lower 70s. Look
for daily heat index values in the mid to upper 90s through at
least Monday.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 1240 PM CDT Thu Jun 26 2025

VFR through the period with a chance for showers and
thunderstorms Friday morning. This activity will be isolated in
nature and no severe weather is expected. Winds remain gusty
out of the southwest today up to 25 knots, but will diminish
this evening.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...None.
MO...None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Titus
LONG TERM...Titus
AVIATION...Soria