Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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416
FXUS64 KTSA 031652
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Tulsa OK
1052 AM CST WED FEB 3 2016

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.

MVFR ceilings will continue through 20-21Z at FYV/XNA/ROG, with
VFR conditions thereafter. VFR conditions will persist through the
period at the other terminals. NW winds will remain gusty through
mid afternoon. Winds will shift to the W and SW by mid morning
tomorrow.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 937 AM CST WED FEB 3 2016/

..UPDATE...

DISCUSSION...
Forecast largely on track, with only notable changes to the Sky
cover forecast. Cold advection stratus deck mainly across areas
north of I-40 continues to show signs of dissipation on visible
satellite imagery. Combined with forecast low level relative
humidity fields, expect that all areas should be mostly sunny by
mid to late afternoon.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 455 AM CST WED FEB 3 2016/

DISCUSSION...

The 12z TAF discussion is included below...

AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
A band of high end MVFR or low end VFR cigs will sweep across the
region this morning on the back side of low pressure. All sites
should be VFR by around midday. Wind gusts out of the NW should be
close to 20 kts at times during the day.

Lacy

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 321 AM CST WED FEB 3 2016/

DISCUSSION...
Stretch of generally quiet weather through this forecast period.
Gradient winds will continue to gradually diminish today as deep
sfc low near the Great Lakes continues to move off to the
northeast. Cooler conditions expected with low clouds prevailing
through the early part of the day across northern sections.
Surface high settles in over the region tonight with temps
bottoming out Thu morning...but will moderate fairly quick as we
end the week.

In general...NW flow aloft will persist the next several days with
little opportunity for moisture to return ahead of any upper
energy. Thus will keep forecast dry though a few sprinkles or
snow flurries may be possible as another cold front early next
week brings temps back down below normal.

TSA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.

$$


&&

.TSA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...22



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