Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 312000
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
300 PM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015

.DISCUSSION...
ONGOING ISOLATED CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY THIS AFTERNOON IS EXPECTED TO
DIMINISH BY AROUND 0Z. HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL REMAIN THE
DOMINANT PLAYER IN OUR WEATHER OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS. RELATIVELY
DRIER AIR ACROSS THE REGION WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES NEAR OR BELOW
SEASONAL AVERAGES THROUGH THE WEEKEND... WITH MINIMAL
PRECIPITATION CHANCES.

THE CENTER OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE FAR ENOUGH TO OUR WEST BY
TUESDAY TO ALLOW A MINOR DISTURBANCE IN WEAK NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT
TO RAISE PRECIPITATION CHANCES ACROSS MAINLY THE NORTHERN HALF OF
THE FORECAST AREA TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. A WEAK SURFACE FRONT IS
PROGGED TO DEVELOP NEAR THE OKLAHOMA KANSAS BORDER... WHICH WILL
LIKELY BE THE FOCUS FOR SCATTERED CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY.

AFTER THAT... THE RIDGE WILL STRENGTHEN... ONCE AGAIN BRINGING
UNSEASONABLY HOT TEMPERATURES TO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS FROM THE
MIDDLE TO END OF NEXT WEEK.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   71  92  73  91 /   0   0   0  10
FSM   70  94  73  95 /  10   0   0  10
MLC   72  94  74  93 /  10   0   0   0
BVO   68  92  70  91 /   0   0  10  10
FYV   68  90  71  89 /  10   0   0  10
BYV   67  92  70  91 /  10   0   0  10
MKO   70  92  72  91 /  10   0   0  10
MIO   67  92  68  91 /  10   0   0  10
F10   72  92  74  90 /  10   0   0  10
HHW   72  96  74  98 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

LONG TERM....06



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