Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 261048
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
548 AM CDT THU MAR 26 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
FOR THE 12Z TAFS... MVFR CEILINGS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL SITES FOR THE
FIRST PORTION OF THE FORECAST PERIOD AS LIGHT RAINFALL SLOWLY
ENDS. NORTHERLY WINDS WILL REMAIN STRONG AND GUSTY THROUGHOUT THE
DAYLIGHT HOURS... SUBSIDING AFTER SUNSET THIS EVENING.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 256 AM CDT THU MAR 26 2015/

DISCUSSION...

A MORE AMPLIFIED UPPER FLOW PATTERN WILL PREVAIL OVER THE CONUS
THROUGH THE WEEKEND...TRANSITIONING BACK TO A LOW AMPLITUDE REGIME
NEXT WEEK. DEEP TROUGH AXIS WILL SETUP OVER THE MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY AND WILL THEN SLIDE EAST THIS WEEKEND. MUCH COOLER AND MORE
TRANQUIL WEATHER WILL PREVAIL TODAY AND FRIDAY BEFORE A WARMING UP
AHEAD OF THE NEXT FRONT WHICH IS FORECAST TO ARRIVE LATE SUNDAY.
THERE WILL BE SOME CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS...BUT NOTHING
SIGNIFICANT AT THIS POINT.

THERE ARE STILL SOME DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE GFS AND ECMWF NEXT
WEEK AS THE PATTERN DEAMPLIFIES. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY IN WHERE
THE NEXT FRONT WILL SET UP AND FOCUS ACTIVITY...AT LEAST SMALL
RAIN/STORM CHANCES WERE KEPT IN THE FORECAST THRU MIDWEEK.

LACY

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...06




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