Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 220443
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1143 PM CDT THU MAY 21 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE NIGHT FOR ALL SITES.
AREAS OF SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEGIN TO MOVE
INTO EASTERN OK AFTER 15-16Z...ALONG WITH AREAS OF MVFR CIGS.
PRECIPITATION SHOULD MOVE INTO WESTERN AR AFTER 18-20Z.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 830 PM CDT THU MAY 21 2015/

DISCUSSION...
NEXT ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO AFFECT EASTERN OKLAHOMA
AND WESTERN ARKANSAS WILL ENCROACH ON THE AREA FROM THE WEST TONIGHT
AND MAY ENTER THE WESTERN FRINGES OF THE COUNTY WARNING AREA BY 12Z.
ANOTHER MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE OUT OF SOUTHWEST UNITED STATES
TONIGHT AND ACROSS THE PLAINS ON FRIDAY BRINGING THE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA. HAVE LOWERED POPS EAST OF HIGHWAY 75 FOR TONIGHT
AS THE HRRR HAS TRENDED A BIT SLOWER ON BRINGING THE PRECIPITATION INTO
THE AREA. HAVE ALSO MADE SOME ADJUSTMENTS TO THE SKY GRIDS FOR TONIGHT.
OTHERWISE...CURRENT FORECAST IS ON TRACK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   51  60  55  73 /  10  80  50  70
FSM   53  62  56  76 /  10  70  40  50
MLC   54  63  58  76 /  20  80  40  50
BVO   48  60  53  72 /  10  80  50  70
FYV   46  61  54  72 /  10  70  50  50
BYV   46  63  52  71 /  10  50  40  50
MKO   52  60  56  75 /  10  80  50  60
MIO   47  63  53  73 /  10  70  40  60
F10   53  61  57  75 /  20  80  50  60
HHW   57  67  59  78 /  10  60  30  50

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 7 AM FRIDAY TO 7 AM MONDAY FOR OKZ049-
     OKZ053-OKZ054-OKZ055-OKZ056-OKZ057-OKZ058-OKZ059-OKZ060-
     OKZ061-OKZ062-OKZ063-OKZ064-OKZ065-OKZ066-OKZ067-OKZ068-
     OKZ069-OKZ070-OKZ071-OKZ072-OKZ073-OKZ074-OKZ075-OKZ076.

AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM 1 PM SUNDAY TO 7 AM MONDAY FOR ARZ001-
     ARZ002-ARZ010-ARZ011-ARZ019-ARZ020-ARZ029.

&&

$$

AVIATION...18




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