Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 231714
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1114 AM CST Tue Jan 23 2018

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
VFR conditions will prevail through the forecast period.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 1035 AM CST Tue Jan 23 2018/

DISCUSSION...
Some clouds linger across northwest AR and far northwest corner of
OK this morning, but should clear off soon as upper low continues
lifting northeast. This leaves us with a sunny and slightly
warmer afternoon. Updated forecast to hold on to clouds longer per
satellite trends.

PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 532 AM CST Tue Jan 23 2018/

AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
VFR conditions will prevail through the forecast period.

PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 306 AM CST Tue Jan 23 2018/

DISCUSSION...
Clouds currently over far northeast Oklahoma and northwest
Arkansas will more than likely exit the area by sunrise as
the responsible mid-level low currently over Illinois
moves off to the northeast. As a result, a sunny day is expected
across eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas with high pressure
building across the area at the surface.

A weak mid-level shortwave will sweep across the area Tonight with little
fanfare as available moisture will be meager. Wednesday will be
another Sun drenched day with temperatures continuing an upwards
trend.

On Thursday, the winds are expected to increase out of the southwest
as the surface high shifts to the east of the area and our next
storm system begins to get organized to the west. These winds
will combine with the unseasonably warm temperatures to create
an elevated fire danger across portions of the area.

The chances of rain will increase Friday night and continue into
Saturday as the next Pacific cold front moves across eastern Oklahoma
and western Arkansas. Dry weather returns Sunday into Monday as high
pressure builds over the region behind the departing front.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   53  29  57  37 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   53  30  58  33 /   0   0   0   0
MLC   55  30  58  36 /   0   0   0   0
BVO   53  23  57  34 /   0   0   0   0
FYV   48  27  53  32 /   0   0   0   0
BYV   47  28  53  34 /   0   0   0   0
MKO   52  28  57  34 /   0   0   0   0
MIO   48  26  54  36 /   0   0   0   0
F10   54  30  57  36 /   0   0   0   0
HHW   57  31  59  33 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...14
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION.....14


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