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000
FXUS64 KTSA 200445
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1145 PM CDT Sat Aug 19 2017

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
VFR conditions expected over the next 24 hours.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 916 PM CDT Sat Aug 19 2017/

DISCUSSION...
Thunderstorms developed this afternoon near a remnant boundary
across southeastern Kansas and north central Arkansas. Some of this
developed into northeastern Oklahoma and northwestern Arkansas this
evening, although thus far it has been very isolated in the TSA CWA.
Maintained low pop across northeastern Oklahoma and northwestern
Arkansas through much of the night, which is supported by high-
resolution, rapid update models. Most areas unaffected tonight,
however.

Mainly diurnal convection expected again on Sunday as air mass warms
into the 90s with dewpoints well into the 70s. Heat Advisory may need
to be tweaked some based mainly on dewpoint temperature forecast,
which will impact forecasted heat index values. Thanks to our August
rains, much more humid than what we normally experience in late
August.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   75  96  75  93 /  20  10  10  20
FSM   75  96  74  92 /  20  20  10  30
MLC   74  93  74  91 /  10  10   0  20
BVO   72  96  74  94 /  20  10  20  20
FYV   71  91  72  88 /  20  20  10  30
BYV   71  92  71  90 /  20  20  20  30
MKO   74  94  73  92 /  20  10  10  20
MIO   73  93  73  91 /  20  20  20  20
F10   73  95  73  93 /  10  10  10  20
HHW   75  92  75  90 /  10  10  10  20

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Heat Advisory from noon to 9 PM CDT Sunday for OKZ054>057-
     059>061-064-067-070-072-076.

AR...Heat Advisory from noon to 9 PM CDT Sunday for ARZ019-020-029.

&&

$$

AVIATION...18