Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 242008
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
308 PM CDT WED AUG 24 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Hot day out there...although heat index values haven`t got too out
of control as surface dewpoints have mixed out some across much of
northeast OK. Frontal boundary currently stretches across KS and
expect convection to develop along it during the next several
hours. Not out of the question that a few storms could graze the
far northwestern sections of our forecast area...but bulk of
storms will remain north of the region through tonight.

Slightly better chances of storms will arrive later Thursday into
Thursday night as the synoptic boundary sags a bit farther south.
Weak impulses riding along the western edge of the ridge should
further enhance storm chances going into Friday with some
reasonable coverage possible during the afternoon.

The forecast area will remain along the western edge of the
southeastern upper ridge through the weekend and into early next
week. Expect mainly low-end diurnal PoPs through this
period...with near seasonal temps. Stayed very close to MOS
numbers for highs/lows.

We`ll also be keeping an eye on the tropical disturbance currently
near Puerto Rico which is expected to become better organized over
the next 24-48 hours. Impacts (if any) to our area are still over
a week away...so there`s plenty of time to watch the potential
tropical development.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   76  96  72  88 /  10  20  30  40
FSM   74  95  75  89 /   0  10  10  50
MLC   75  95  72  88 /   0  10  10  50
BVO   73  94  67  87 /  20  30  30  40
FYV   70  91  70  85 /   0  10  10  50
BYV   71  91  70  86 /   0  10  10  50
MKO   72  95  72  87 /   0  10  10  50
MIO   72  93  70  86 /  10  30  30  50
F10   74  95  72  87 /   0  10  10  50
HHW   74  93  73  88 /   0  10  10  50

&&

.TSA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...20
LONG TERM....18


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