Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 271940
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
240 PM CDT SAT JUN 27 2015

.DISCUSSION...
TRANQUIL EARLY SUMMER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY WITH
THE NEXT WEAK COLD FRONT SETTLING INTO THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT...AND
GRADUALLY LOSING DEFINITION DURING THE DAY MONDAY. THIS BOUNDARY
WILL SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR CONVECTION HOWEVER WEAK FORCING ALOFT
AND LIMITED CONVERGE IS EXPECTED TO KEEP PRECIP COVERAGE LOW.

THERMAL RIDGE EXPANDS TUESDAY / WEDNESDAY WITH AN UPTICK IN BOTH
TEMPERATURES AND DEWPOINTS YIELDING HOT HEAT INDEX VALUES.

A MORE UNSETTLED PERIOD IS LIKELY TO BEGIN WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
PERSIST INTO NEXT WEEKEND AS THE WESTERN RIDGE IS FLATTENED
SOMEWHAT AND SEVERAL WAVES ARE PROGGED TO CROSS THE REGION WITHIN
THE PREVAILING NORTHWESTERLY FLOW. DATA REMAIN SOMEWHAT
INCONSISTENT ON HOW AGGRESSIVE THE SFC FRONTAL SURGE WILL
BE...HOWEVER IT IS POSSIBLE THE BOUNDARY STALLS ACROSS THE REGION
AND THE PERSISTENT SFC FOCUS WARRANTS HIGHER PRECIP CHANCES FOR
SEVERAL DAYS LATE NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   65  91  70  92 /   0   0  20  10
FSM   66  89  69  91 /   0   0   0  20
MLC   64  88  68  89 /   0   0  10  20
BVO   62  90  67  92 /   0  10  20  10
FYV   59  85  65  87 /   0   0  20  10
BYV   60  85  66  88 /   0   0  20  10
MKO   65  87  68  89 /   0   0  10  20
MIO   62  88  67  90 /   0  10  20  10
F10   65  88  68  90 /   0   0  10  20
HHW   66  88  68  90 /   0   0   0  20

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

LONG TERM....07



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