Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 092033
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Tulsa OK
233 PM CST TUE FEB 9 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Strong/gusty winds at 30-35 mph, coupled with a very dry air-mass,
has lead to an elevated fire danger threat this afternoon. Dew-
points are currently in the single digits across much of Northeast
Oklahoma and Northwest Arkansas with relative humidity values in
the 20-25 percent range. Any fires that do develop will likely
spread quickly. A red flag warning remains in effect for Northwest
Arkansas through 600 pm. Fire weather conditions will begin to
improve this evening as winds decrease and RH values start to
recover.

Upper low currently over the Great Lakes region will begin to
lift northeast into Canada on Wednesday. A quick warm up is
expected into Wednesday afternoon as low level winds become more
westerly. Next cold front will move through Eastern Oklahoma and
Northwest Arkansas Wednesday night into Thursday morning with
another secondary back door cold front and reinforcing shot of
colder air friday night into Saturday.

Low precipitation chances will return by Sunday as fast moving
upper wave moves out of the Northern Rockies and into the Central
plains. Moisture return ahead of system will remain limited but
scattered showers will be possible Sunday afternoon/evening.
Otherwise, dry conditions expected into the early part of next
week with temperatures running a few degrees above normal.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   25  63  33  50 /  10   0   0   0
FSM   24  54  34  59 /   0   0   0   0
MLC   27  63  38  57 /   0   0   0   0
BVO   23  65  24  49 /  10   0   0   0
FYV   20  51  29  51 /   0   0   0   0
BYV   19  50  28  46 /   0  10   0   0
MKO   24  62  32  53 /   0   0   0   0
MIO   20  54  28  45 /  10  10   0   0
F10   27  64  35  52 /   0   0   0   0
HHW   28  62  37  64 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.TSA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...22
LONG TERM....12


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