Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FXUS64 KTSA 311130
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
630 AM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
SCATTERED MID AND HIGH CLOUDS SHOULD REMAIN COMMON ACROSS EASTERN
OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. A FEW
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER PARTS OF EASTERN
OKLAHOMA...THOUGH WITH LIMITED COVERAGE HAVE KEPT MENTION OUT OF
TAFS FOR NOW. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE
PERIOD.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 314 AM CDT FRI JUL 31 2015/

DISCUSSION...
A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN
OKLAHOMA TODAY WHERE DEEPER MOISTURE CURRENTLY RESIDES UNDER MODEST
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. DRIER AIR-MASS WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION
FROM THE EAST AS WEAK SURFACE HIGH BUILDS ACROSS WESTERN ARKANSAS
TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR COOLER OVERNIGHT
LOWS THROUGH THE WEEKEND...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...WHILE ALSO KEEPING HEAT INDICES IN CHECK.

PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY LOW INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES REMAINING NEAR NORMAL FOR MUCH OF THE AREA.
A WEAK UPPER LEVEL IMPULSE WILL SHIFT EAST OUT OF THE ROCKIES
INTO THE CENTRAL PLAINS TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY WITH AT LEAST A
LIMITED CHANCE FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS DURING THIS TIME.

UPPER RIDGE WILL BEGIN TO SLOWLY BUILD BACK EAST INTO THE AREA BY
THE LATTER HALF OF NEXT WEEK WITH HOT/DRY CONDITIONS AS SOUTHWESTERLY
WINDS RETURN.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   91  72  92  71 /  20   0   0   0
FSM   93  70  96  70 /  10  10  10  10
MLC   91  69  94  68 /  20  10  10  10
BVO   92  65  93  66 /  20   0   0   0
FYV   89  61  91  63 /  10  10   0  10
BYV   91  64  93  66 /  10  10   0  10
MKO   90  69  92  69 /  20  10   0   0
MIO   91  65  93  67 /  10  10   0   0
F10   89  70  92  70 /  20  10   0  10
HHW   93  69  95  69 /  20  10  10  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

AVIATION...20


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