Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 052047
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
247 PM CST Mon Dec 5 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Upper low currently across south central Texas will continue
lifting northeast and weaken as it moves through southern Arkansas
overnight. Rain chances associated with this feature will mostly
be confined to southeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas tonight.
Attention turns to the arctic airmass that will impact the region
by midweek. Initial push of cooler air will move into the area
overnight...with the main surge to enter northeast Oklahoma
Wednesday afternoon. Moisture profiles suggest limited chances for
any accumulating precip associated with the broad upper trough
that will pass Wednesday and Wednesday night. Have cut down on qpf
and snow totals from previous forecast...and will have the best
chance for snow across far northeast OK and northwest AR. Once
this airmass settles over the plains...very cold temperatures that
hav not been seen in quite sometime can be expected
Thursday...and especially Friday morning where widespread
overnight low temperatures in the teens are expected. Airmass
loses its grip over the plains for the start of the weekend...and
a quick warmup will ensue. Precip chances will increase some for
the last half of the weekend across southeast Oklahoma and
northwest Arkansas as moisture increases ahead of the next system.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   37  46  33  38 /  20   0  10  20
FSM   41  51  36  44 /  60   0  10  20
MLC   40  50  36  44 /  40   0  10  10
BVO   34  46  27  37 /  10   0  10  30
FYV   39  46  28  36 /  60   0  10  20
BYV   38  46  29  36 /  60   0  10  30
MKO   38  46  33  40 /  40   0  10  20
MIO   35  44  28  37 /  30   0  10  30
F10   38  47  34  40 /  20   0  10  10
HHW   42  53  40  47 /  70  10  10  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...11
LONG TERM....23



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